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How to beat the bookie in basketball
Best NBA Betting Strategies & Tips 2022
If you want to consistently rake in winnings at online sportsbooks, you might want to pick a site that provides a wealth of NBA betting strategies & tips.
By picking a sportsbook that offers instant access to the latest news, game previews, NBA Picks, blogs, vlogs, etc., you’ll be better placed to make wiser choices when selecting that next killer parlay.
It’s important stuff! So, read on to learn more about NBA betting strategies and discover a host of top NBA betting tips.
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Contents
1 NBA Betting Strategy: Tips on the Main Game Lines
1. 1 1.NBA Over Under Tips (Total Points)
1.2 2. NBA Moneyline Betting Strategy
1.3 3.NBA Spread Betting Strategy: ‘No Blowouts!’
2 Discover Our Top Betting Guides
3 NBA Live Betting Strategy
3.1 NBA Betting Strategy: Always Pay Attention to the Team’s Schedule
3.2 NBA Betting Strategy: Check the Lineups and Injury News
3.3 NBA Over Under Betting Strategy
3.4 NBA Betting Strategy: “NBA Vegas Odds Know Best”
4 Most Successful NBA Betting Strategy
4.1 NBA Quarter Betting Strategy
4.2 The Contrarian Betting Strategy NBA
4.3 NBA Underdog Moneyline Betting Strategy
5 NBA Free Picks
6 Grab The Best Promo Codes With Our Reviews
7 Best NBA Betting Strategy Sites Reviewed
7.1 1. BetUSA – Best NBA Betting Strategy Site for Blogs/Vlogs
7.2 2. MyBookie – Best Blogs for NBA Betting Strategy
7.3 3. XBet – Superb Blogs and News Available on this Online Sportsbook
8 Conclusion: Best NBA Betting Sites for Strategy and Tips
8. 1 What is the best NBA betting strategy?
8.2 How to bet on the NBA?
8.3 What should I look for when betting on NBA?
8.4 Is NBA betting easy?
8.5 Can NBA players bet on themselves?
NBA Betting Strategy: Tips on the Main Game Lines
So long as you’ve signed up to a sportsbook and familiarized yourself with betting options available, you’re free to get down to the nitty-gritty of establishing your very own NBA betting strategies.
Seeing as these game lines feature on all NBA betting sites, we’ve listed a tried and tested tip for each of the moneyline, point spread, and total points markets. There are literally hundreds of other strategies for each line, (a selection of which will be covered further down the page).
These are by no means the best tips – just a safe tip for each line to get us going. And also to reintroduce the premier NBA betting lines (just in case you’ve landed on this page without reading our ‘How to bet on the NBA’ article).
1.NBA Over Under Tips (Total Points)
The total points NBA betting line involves predicting the combined number of points scored by both teams and whether or not the said total will go over or under the number specified by the oddsmakers (O227.5, or U227.5 in the NBA season example given above on the right-hand side, for instance).
The most important thing to do here is to study the total points scored in previous encounters between the two teams, and also the recent points totals; perhaps just for the last 5 games for each team. We recommend figuring out a mean average over the last 5.
If the team you are wagering on – let’s say the Suns – only scored an average of 90 points in their last five, – and especially if the field goal percentage is down low – then it’s probable that the Suns struggle to put up points the next game, too.
Try to make things as predictable as you can!
2. NBA Moneyline Betting Strategy
There are numerous NBA betting strategies on the moneyline. But, one that we’ve grown to enjoy, is the NBA underdog moneyline betting strategy. It’s simple to implement, too: just look for tight contests where one team is expected to lose and put your money on the underdog.
This one pretty much comes out of the daytrader’s handbook – the idea being that you win more when you win, and lose less when you lose. You may even lose more bets than you win. But the odds will always be in your favor and you’ll be winning more money when you do win.
Obviously, this doesn’t mean you take the NBA’s bottom-ranked team vs. the NBA’s top-ranked team every week. It means that you look for value in closely contested games, such as in the image above.
3.NBA Spread Betting Strategy: ‘No Blowouts!’
Imagine you log into your favored NBA betting app to find that the Phoenix Suns have opened up as massive -18.5 favorites vs. Milwaukee Bucks (as above). The Suns have been tasked with not only beating the Bucks but humiliating them; running away with a 19 point W!
Should you take this bet on the spread? Well, this NBA point spread betting system says, ‘no!’ The ‘No Blowouts on the Spread’ rule suggests not wagering on such results. It’s not that they never happen; we’ve all seen our favorite team get trounced by 20 at one time or another. It’s just statistically unlikely, so you’re better off leaving this -18.5 spread alone, or checking the NBA betting app’s alternate spread for a closer score.
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NBA Live Betting Strategy
Implementing an NBA live betting strategy – that is, betting while the game is in progress – is a lot of fun, especially if you’re watching a game on TV that you’re not spiritually invested in. But ‘How to win betting on live NBA’ is a bit of a loaded question – if we knew that; we’d all be sipping champagne in Seychelles right now. What we can tell you, though, is ‘how to win more often,’ and ‘how to lose less when you do lose.
Follow these basic basketball betting tips below for a much better chance of exiting an NBA live betting session in the green.
NBA Betting Strategy: Always Pay Attention to the Team’s Schedule
Statistics suggest that teams playing 3-4x per week tire and struggle to uphold consistency; particularly during the second half of a game, so keep an eye on the schedule, especially when you notice a top-ranked team has been given better than usual odds.
NBA Betting Strategy: Check the Lineups and Injury News
Milwaukee Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo is a monster in the paint and, when fit, a live bet on the Greek Freak to go over on +30 points at +500 would be a good shout. But, did you do your research? Research is a crucial part of any safe NBA betting strategy. It’s possible Giannis is carrying an injury or had a rough week emotionally, or perhaps he historically struggles in double-coverage vs. this week’s D – whatever. But don’t just bet on a name and assume the name is going to perform.
Oddsmakers always do their research; there will be a reason one of the league’s best players is listed at +500, and the reason isn’t that sportsbooks want to give away money.
NBA Over Under Betting Strategy
NBA teams consistently score more points in the second half. If you’ve wagered on the over/under game line for the Orlando Magic to go O210 points vs. Boston Celtics, but it’s just 40-45 at the half – don’t stress; don’t cash out (that’s what they want!). Sit tight: statistically speaking, teams tend to put up more points in quarters three and four, as defenses tire and sharpshooters hone in on the basket.
NBA Betting Strategy: “NBA Vegas Odds Know Best”
Another tip for the over/ under market is to not overthink what’s happening during the game so much. Oddsmakers – especially Vegas NBA oddsmakers – tend to be very close to spot on with predictions – that’s why they’re hired! Chances are the score will end at close to what the Vegas oddsmakers said it would prior to the tip. So, again, don’t panic; sit tight and wait for your NBA betting strategy to pay dividends.
As mentioned, there are many hundreds more NBA betting tips and strategies for the NBA point spread, et al when betting live, in-play. We’re just hoping to whet your appetite for some further reading.
Most Successful NBA Betting Strategy
The ‘most successful sports betting strategy is likely to change depending on who you talk to on any given day. But below we’ve listed three strategies that we’ve personally found success with over the years.
NBA Quarter Betting Strategy
One strategy that has nothing to do with stats or research is the NBA quarter’s betting strategy. All you need to do here is to bet on the team that lost the first quarter and then double up if they lose the second quarter and then double up again if they lose the third quarter. It is rare for a team to win and cover the spread in all four quarters of an NBA game; the said team might not win the game but, eventually, they’ll win a quarter – even if it is just because the dominant team opts to rest key players during the latter stages.
The Contrarian Betting Strategy NBA
Put simply, NBA sportsbooks remain in business because the general gambling public, drunk on Bud during the big game, tends to get things wrong. Taking the contrarian position just means going against the crowd and is a tactic employed by several world-famous day traders to boot. Some of the best NBA betting sites, such as DraftKings, allow bettors to view what other bettors have been wagering on. Check it out and go against the grain – it’s really that simple.
NBA Underdog Moneyline Betting Strategy
We mentioned this NBA sports betting strategy earlier, so shan’t go into too much extra detail. But, in essence, bettors tend not to win in the long run by simply betting on the favorite. Imagine you bet on the Atlanta Hawks as favorites three times at -100 with 66.6r% success. You would be even on your $300 investment.
Imagine instead that you bet on the 76ers as the underdogs and at the same rate of success: you’re up to $100 profit, and you didn’t need to risk as much to make the $100 either. You see this betting tip appear all the time on NBA totals betting strategy forums and there is a reason for that.
NBA Free Picks
Because wagering on NBA betting sites is now legal in so many states across the US there’s much less of a need to pay money to some bizarre group of oddsmaking specialists in Vegas to get your tips, as has been historically done in America.
Free NBA picks are available on such TV networks as ESPN (William Hill NBA odds) and Fox (FOXBET NBA odds). Most of the major sportsbooks publish NBA betting tips and have skilled groups of writers paid to pen the best NBA betting strategy for a specific game to hungry readers. A few notable places of interest include:
DK Nation (Draftkings tips and forums, etc)
BetUS (Free NBA Picks & easy access to stats)
ESPN.com (every stat you’re likely to need)
NBA.com (all the stats and all the news)
If you don’t trust the networks or their NBA betting apps, there are legions of other websites to visit that aren’t in direct partnerships with such companies. And, there are numerous NBA betting forums, too, where you can go to chat to like-minded folk to get their perspective and latest NBA betting tips. A few such search terms you might like to ‘Google’ are as follows:
IG Tipping Pages
NBA Twitter Picks
Plus, there’s always:
Basketball Insiders (we aren’t affiliated with anyone in particular and the NBA betting advice we provide is basically what we’re going to be betting on)
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Best NBA Betting Strategy Sites Reviewed
Factoring in all the aforementioned crucial elements that help to make up a truly winning sportsbook when it comes to NBA betting strategy (tips/stats/picks/odds, etc.), the best offshore betting app, in our opinion, is:
1. BetUSA – Best NBA Betting Strategy Site for Blogs/Vlogs
A sportsbook and NBA betting app that broadcasts highly competitive basketball betting odds and a large selection of NBA lines to choose from, BetUS is a top choice of sportsbook on which to implement your betting strategy.
The attention to detail on the site does not go unnoticed: regular patrons can access up-to-date stats and metrics at the click of a button whilst navigating the game lines. It’s also possible to sift through all the latest player and team news whilst on the site, as well as to scope the BetUS NBA picks written by online gambling experts.
It’s almost as if the sportsbook wants you to win – (almost).
What we like:
Deep markets for prop bets and NBA futures
Parlay betting feature
NBA Live betting is available
$2,500 Risk-Free bet
Stats and metrics are readily available at the click of a button
Picks and latest news written by gambling experts accessible on-site – free
Rewards patrons regularly with bonuses + referral bonus
What we don’t:
No live streaming of NBA
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2.
MyBookie – Best Blogs for NBA Betting Strategy
MyBookie has been operating since 2014 and in our opinion is one of the best sites to implement a winning NBA strategy. Their competitive odds, various betting options, and live betting make it the ideal place to place your wagers.
The site offers a myriad of betting options for NBA games, so whatever strategy you are going for with MyBookie you can implement it. It offers live betting, prop builders, and various futures. If you back Ja Morant to win MVP this season or Steph Curry to lead a fourth-quarter comeback, MyBookie has you covered.
The site also boasts a first-rate blog for the NBA with up-to-date team and player news, stats, results, and information on where and when you can find coverage of games. In addition, you can also find some top NBA tips from online gambling experts.
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What we like:
Competitive odds
NBA news and betting tips written by gambling experts
Prop Builders available for NBA and various other sports
Free weekly competitions
Generous deposit bonus + referral bonus
What we don’t:
No live streaming of NBA games
Not much in terms of live NBA in-game statistics
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3. XBet – Superb Blogs and News Available on this Online Sportsbook
Xbet is another site that features a top-quality NBA blog that will help prospective bettors implement a more successful NBA betting strategy. They also have varied markets and great odds for all NBA games.
Xbet has plenty of markets on the NBA, everything from spreads, over/under, and futures to an array of interesting prop bets. Overall their odds aren’t always as good as some other sites like BetOnline and Bovada but they are always close and you often find better odds here for the favorites in a matchup.
When it comes to tips and strategy Xbet like Mybookie offers a superb blog featuring current NBA news on teams and players, stats, results, and where and when you can catch the NBA action.
The welcome bonus you can claim using the Xbet promo code falls short of the other two sites we reviewed as it’s worth up to $500. They make up for this with other regular promotions including some free bets when March Madness comes around.
What we like:
Excellent blog written by experts
Competitive odds
Varied prop bets
NBA Live betting is available
Free March Madness bets
What we don’t:
No live streaming of NBA games
Lower welcome bonus
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Conclusion: Best NBA Betting Sites for Strategy and Tips
While many NBA betting sites are a good choice if you are looking for tips on where to wager your money and implement a winning strategy. We would have to choose BetUS as the best of the bunch. The Lockerroom section of their website is constantly being updated with player and team news. There are also tons of expert picks, blogs, and vlogs that will help both new and seasoned NBA bettors.
On top of all the useful information, their NBA markets are incredibly varied and they are always competitive when it comes to odds on the NBA. Finally, the bonus they offer is worth up to a whopping $2,500. For these reasons, we rate them the highest of the NBA betting sites for strategy and tips.
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What is the best NBA betting strategy?
How to bet on the NBA?
What should I look for when betting on NBA?
Is NBA betting easy?
Can NBA players bet on themselves?
NBA – How To Beat The Bookie
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Below is a sample of what members see:
MAVS AT BUCKS
MAVS ARE IN 4TH CITY IN 6 DAYS AFTER THEY LOST 135-103 AT WASHINGTON FRIDAY, THEY ARE 3-1 SU (2-1-1 ATS) THEIR LAST 4. M. KLEBER (ANKLE) IS OUT WHILE T. BURKE (COVID) REMAINS OUT. BUCKS ARE ON 4TH GAME IN 6 DAYS AFTER THEY LOST TO THE CLIPPERS 153-119 IN MILWAUKEE FRIDAY BUT THEY RESTED GIANNIS, HOLIDAY, AND MIDDLETON, THEY ARE 12-4 SU (11-5 ATS) THEIR LAST 16. THEY MET DEC 23 BUCKS WON 102-95 AT DALLAS, THEY SPLIT 2 MEETINGS LY BOTH BOTH TEAMS WINNING AT HOME. BUCKS ARE 4-1 ATS THEIR LAST 5 AT HOME AND MAVS ARE 1-5 ATS THEIR LAST 6 ON THE ROAD. BUCKS ARE 2 SEED HALF GAME AHEAD OF CELTICS AND 1.5 GB HEAT WHILE MAVS ARE 4 SEED 1 GB OF WARRIORS AND 2 GAMES AHEAD OF JAZZ.
WIZARDS AT CELTICS
WIZARDS ARE ON 4TH GAME IN 6 DAYS AFTER BEATING THE MAVS 135-103 IN WASHINGTON FRIDAY, THEY ARE 4-1 SU/ATS THEIR LAST 5. K. KUZMA (KNEE) REMAINS OUT.CELTICS BEAT THE PACERS 128-123 IN BOSTON FRIDAY, THEY ARE 7-2 SU (6-3 ATS) THEIR LAST 9. J. TATUM (KNEE) IS PROBABLE. WIZARDS HAVE WON 2 OF 3 MEETINGS TY, THEY LAST MET JAN 23 CELTICS WON 116-87 AT WASHINGTON. CELTICS ARE 27-13 SU (17-21-2 ATS) AT HOME AND WIZARDS ARE 2-6 ATS THEIR LAST 8 ROAD GAMES. CELTICS ARE 3 SEED HALF GB OF BUCKS AND HALF GAME AHEAD OF 76ERS WHILE WIZARDS HAVE BEEN ELIMINATED FROM PLAYOFFS.
NUGGETS AT LAKERS
NUGGETS LOST TO THE TWOLVES 136-130 IN DENVER FRIDAY, THEY ARE 3-1 SU (1-3 ATS) THEIR LAST 4. JEFF GREEN IS NOT WITH THE TEAM. LAKERS LOST TO THE PELICANS 114-111 IN LA FRIDAY FOR THEIR 5TH STRAIGHT LOSS (2-3 ATS). L. JAMES (ANKLE) AND A. DAVIS (FOOT) ARE BOTH LISTED AS ? THEY MET JAN 15 NUGGETS WON 133-96 AT DENVER, LAKERS HAVE WON 4 OF THE LAST 6 MEETINGS (3-3 ATS). NUGGETS ARE 9-3 ATS THEIR LAST 12 ROAD GAMES AND LAKERS ARE 20-19 SU (16-23 ATS) AT HOME. NUGGETS ARE TIED WITH JAZZ FOR 5 SEED 2 GAMES AHEAD OF TWOLVES WHILE LAKERS ARE 11 SEED 1 GB OF SPURS TO MAKE PLAY IN. THIS IS A “MUST GAME” FOR THE LAKERS, NUGGETS EMBARRASSED THEM BY 37 POINTS BACK IN JANUARY. IF BOTH JAMES (40 MINUTES LAST GAME) AND DAVIS (37 MINUTES LAST GAME) PLAY, AS I EXPECT THEY WILL… INJURY UPDATE AD IS IN BUT LEBRON IS OUT BET DENVER ENOUGH TO GET OFF YOUR LAKERS BET
I LOVE LAKERS +3
I BET NUGGETS ML -1.50 WHEN LEBRON INFO BROKE
PISTONS AT PACERS
PISTONS BEAT THE THUNDER 110-101 AT OKC FRIDAY, THEY ARE 10-11 SU (18-2-1 ATS) THEIR LAST 21. C. CUNNINGHAM (HIP), M. BAGLEY (HIP) AND C. JOSEPH (BACK) ARE OUT. PACERS LOST TO THE CELTICS 128-123 AT BOSTON FRIDAY FOR THEIR 6TH STRAIGHT LOSS (2-4 ATS). G. BITADZE (KNEE) HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO PROBABLE WHILE M. BROGDON REMAINS OUT. PISTONS HAVE WON 2 OF 3 MEETINGS TY BOTH AT HOME, THEY LAST MET MARCH 4 PISTONS WON 111-106 IN DETROIT. PISTONS ARE 2-3 SU (4-1 ATS) THE LAST 5 MEETINGS. PACERS ARE 5-12 ATS THEIR LAST 17 AT HOME AND PISTONS ARE 10-1 ATS THEIR LAST 11 ON THE ROAD. PACERS ARE 3 GAMES UP ON PISTONS AND PISTONS ARE 2 GAMES AHEAD OF HOUSTON AND ORLANDO FOR WORST RECORD IN NBA.
76ERS AT CAVS
76ERS BEAT THE HORNETS 144-114 IN PHILLY LAST NIGHT, THEY HAD DROPPED THEIR 3 PRIOR GAMES. J. EMBIID (ANKLE) HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO PROBABLE. CAVS ARE ON B2B AND 4TH GAME IN 5 DAYS AFTER WINNING 119-101 AT NEW YORK, THEY ARE 3-5 SU (1-7 ATS) THEIR LAST 8. E. MOBLEY (ANKLE) REMAINS OUT. THEY LAST MET MARCH 16 76ERS WON 118-114 AT CLEVELAND. 76ERS ARE 4-0 SU (2-1-1 ATS) THE LAST 4 MEETINGS. 76ERS ARE 1-5-1 ATS THEIR LAST 7 ROAD GAMES AND CAVS ARE 0-5 ATS THEIR LAST 5 AT HOME. CAVS ARE 7 SEED 2 GB BULLS AND 76ERS ARE 4 SEED HALF GB CELTICS. WITH BOTH TEAMS B2B WOULDN’T BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME PLAYERS RESTED.
KNICKS AT MAGIC
KNICKS LOST TO THE CAVS 119-101 IN NEW YORK LAST NIGHT, THEY ARE 4-2 SU (3-3 ATS) THEIR LAST 6. J. RANDLE (QUAD) IS LIKELY OUT FOR SEASON. MAGIC LOST TO THE RAPTORS 102-89 IN ORLANDO FRIDAY FOR THEIR 5TH STRAIGHT LOSS (1-4 ATS).F. WAGNER (ANKLE) LEFT LAST GAME AND IS OUT C. ANTHONY (TOE) HAS BEEDN UPGRADED TO PROBABLE AND W. CARTER JR. (WRIST) REMAINS OUT. MAGIC HAVE WON 2 OF 3 MEETINGS TY BOTH IN NEW YORK, THEY LAST MET NOV 17 MAGIC WON 104-98. KNICKS ARE 8-1 ATS THEIR LAST 9 ROAD GAMES AND 6-1 ATS THEIR LAST 7 ON B2B. MAGIC ARE 1-5 ATS THEIR LAST 6 HOME GAMES AND 10-28 SU (13-25 ATS) AT HOME ON TY. KNICKS ARE OUT OF PLAYOFF CONTENTION WHILE THE MAGIC ARE TIED WITH ROCKETS FOR WORST RECORD IN NBA.
SUNS AT THUNDER
SUNS LOST TO THE GRIZZLIES 122-114 AT MEMPHIS FRIDAY SNAPPING 9 GAME WIN STREAK, THEY ARE 9-1 SU (7-3 ATS) THEIR LAST 10. D. AYTON, J. CROWDER AND D. BOOKER WILL BE RESTED AND ARE ALL OUT. THUNDER LOST TO THE PISTONS 110-101 IN OKC FRIDAY, THEY ARE 2-7 SU (7-2 ATS) THEIR LAST 9. T. MANN (HAMSTRING) REMAINS OUT AND JOINS THE REST OF THEIR KEY PLAYERS LIKELY OUT FOR SEASON. SUNS HAVE WON 5 STRAIGHT MEETINGS (3-2 ATS) INCLUDING ALL 3 TY BY A COMBINED 50 PTS. SUNS ARE 9-4 ATS THEIR LAST 13 ROAD GAMES AND THUNDER ARE 10-29 SU (19-16-4 ATS) AT HOME. SUNS ARE LOCKED IN 1 SEED RESTING PLAYERS WHILE OKC IS 2.5 GAMES AHEAD OF ORL/HOU FOR WORST RECORD IN NBA.
BLAZERS AT SPURS
THIS IS 2ND STRAIGHT MEETING IN SAN ANTONIO, SPURS WON FIRST MEETING 130-111 FRIDAY. SPURS ARE 5-1 SU/ATS THEIR LAST 5 WHILE BLAZERS LOST 6TH STRAIGHT(1-5 ATS) AND 10 OF THEIR LAST 11. D. MURRAY (ILL) DNP LAST GAME AND IS OUT AGAIN TONIGHT. SPURS HAVE WON ALL 3 MEETINGS TY BY A COMBINED 87 PTS. BLAZERS ARE 1-5 ATS THEIR LAST 5 ON THE ROAD AND SPURS ARE 15-24 SU (18-21 ATS) AT HOME. THE BLAZERS HAVE BEEN TANKING SINCE THE ASB WHILE SPURS ARE 10 SEED 1 GAME AHEAD OF LAKERS. I EXPECT ANOTHER BLOWOUT.
HEAT AT RAPTORS
HEAT BEAT THE BULLS 127-109 AT CHICAGO LAST NIGHT FOR THEIR 3RD STRAIGHT WIN (3-0 ATS). J. BUTLER WILL BE RESTED AND G. VINCENT (TOE) AND D. DEDMON (ANKLE) ARE OUT. RAPTORS BEAT THE MAGIC 102-89 AT ORLANDO FRIDAY, THEY ARE 11-2 SU (10-3 ATS) THEIR LAST 13. OG ANUNOBY (THIGH) IS A LATE SCRATCH. RAPTORS HAVE WON 2 OF 3 MEETINGS TY, THEY LAST MET FEB 1 RAPTORS WON 110-106 IN TORONTO. HEAT ARE 9-1-1 ATS THEIR LAST 11 ROAD GAMES AND RAPTORS ARE 21-16 SU (19-18 ATS) AT HOME. HEAT ARE 1 SEED 1.5 GAMES AHEAD OF BUCKS WHILE RAPTORS ARE 5 SEED HALF GAME AHEAD OF BULLS AND 2 GB 76’ERS.
TWOLVES AT ROCKETS
TWOLVES WILL BE PLAYING 4TH AND FINAL GAME OF AN 8 DAY TRIP. MINNESOTA BEAT THE NUGGETS 136-130 AT DENVER FRIDAY, THEY ARE 2-4 SU/ATS THEIR LAST 6. P. BEVERLEY (ANKLE) IS OUT. ROCKETS LOST TO THE KINGS 122-117 FRIDAY FOR THEIR 3RD STRAIGHT LOSS (1-2 ATS). TWOLVES HAVE WON AND COVERED 4 OF THE LAST 5 MEETINGS INCLUDING BOTH TY BY A COMBINED 36 PTS. ROCKETS ARE 11-28 SU (15-23-1 ATS) AT HOME AND TWOLVES ARE 19-21 (20-19-1 ATS) ON THE ROAD. TWOLVES ARE TRYING TO GET OUT OF PLAY-IN 2 GB NUGGETS/JAZZ WHILE ROCKETS ARE TIED WITH MAGIC FOR WORST RECORD IN NBA. WOLVES WANT TO WIN ROCKETS WANT TO LOSE.
I LIKE T’WOLVES -12.
5
WARRIORS AT KINGS
WARRIORS CAME BACK FROM DOWN 19 TO BEAT THE JAZZ 111-107 IN GSW LAST NIGHT, THEY HAD DROPPED THEIR PRIOR 4 GAMES AND ARE 2-7 SU (3-6 ATS) THEIR LAST 9. K. THOMPSON AND OTHER W’S WILL ALMOST CERTAINLY BE RESTED. KINGS RETURN HOME FROM 5 GAME 10 DAY ROAD TRIP AFTER THEY BEAT THE ROCKETS 122-117 AT HOUSTON FRIDAY, THEY WERE 4-1 SU/ATS ON THE TRIP. A. LEN (BACK) IS ? WARRIORS HAVE WON ALL 3 MEETINGS TY BY A COMBINED 39 PTS. WARRIORS HAVE WON 11 OF THE LAST 14 MEETINGS BUT JUST 4-10 ATS AND KINGS ARE 2-3 SU (4-1 ATS) LAST 5 MEETINGS IN SACRAMENTO. WARRIORS ARE 1-4 ATS THEIR LAST 5 ON THE ROAD AND KINGS ARE 16-23 SU (19-20 ATS) AT HOME. WARRIORS ARE 3 SEED 1 GAME AHEAD OF MAVS WHILE KINGS ARE 12 SEED 1.5 GAMES AHEAD OF PORTLAND. INJURY UPDATE K. THOMPSON, O. PORTER JR. AND A. IGUODALA WILL BE RESTED.
I LIKE KINGS +6.5
PELICANS AT CLIPPERS
PELICANS BEAT THE LAKERS 114-111 AT LA FRIDAY, IT WAS THIER 3RD STRAIGHT WIN. CLIPPERS ARE 4TH GAME IN 6 DAYS AFTER THEY BEAT THE BUCKS 153-119 AT MILWAUKEE FRIDAY WHILE THEY RESTED P. GEORGE, M. MORRIS, R. JACKSON, AND N. BATUM, L.A. HAS WON 2 OF 3 GAMES AFTER A 5 GAME LOSING STREAK. PELICANS HAVE WON AND COVERED 5 STRAIGHT MEETINGS INCLUDING ALL 3 TY BY A COMBINED 56 PTS. CLIPPERS ARE 21-16 SU (17-20 ATS) AT HOME AND PELICANS ARE 12-3 ATS THEIR LAST 15 ROAD GAMES. THIS IS A POTENTIAL MATCHUP IN 2ND ROUND OF PLAY IN GAME, PELICANS ARE 9 SEED 2 GAMES AHEAD OF SPURS AND 3.5 GAMES BACK OF CLIPPERS WHO ARE VIRTUALLY LOCKED IN 8 SEED.
Basketball betting strategies are ranked based on risk, stability, difficulty and compatibility with money management strategies. Each has a detailed description and rationale for the rating.
Betting strategy on the outcome
Betting on the outcome of the Brooklyn Nets - Milwaukee Bucks match.
As in any sports discipline, bets on the outcome are very popular. In basketball, bettors most often resort to this market, since the chance of a draw is extremely low, so the odds for the clubs to win, including the victory of the favorites, are presented at a fairly high level (1, eng.). The outcome betting strategy is the main basketball strategy, as it often attracts even beginner bettors. The market is available for conclusion both in Pre-match mode and LIVE, so bookmaker users often make bets right at the moment of the match.
Risk
Risks in betting on the outcome can be assessed as “minimal”, because unpredictable results in basketball happen much less often than in other popular sports disciplines. Basketball matches are the most productive, so often a strong gap in the score is created between the favorite and the underdog. It is necessary to talk about risks only at the time of betting on equivalent clubs, but the strategy clearly regulates the rules for selecting a match and allows you to skip risky events.
Stability
Betting on the outcome has always been very stable in basketball. If Philadelphia plays well, then it really plays well, and the conditional Cleveland BC will not be able to oppose it. Sometimes bookmakers deliberately overestimate the odds for the favorite in order to unload the line, so the level of quotes in basketball is not always the determining factor. Stability can be seen in the statistics: for example, in the same NBA, the same clubs become the favorites of each Confederation every year.
Complexity
Even beginners will not encounter any special difficulties in analyzing statistics, since all the necessary information is presented on numerous specialized resources. Bettors will only need to evaluate the performance of the basketball clubs participating in the confrontation and familiarize themselves with the history of face-to-face meetings. Often, even bookmakers provide such information in order to simplify the task for their customers.
Popularity
Among basketball game tactics, only the "Total" or "Handicap Betting" methods can compare with the strategy of betting on outcomes. Outcome is the most basic market and is always available for betting, regardless of the game mode. Bookmakers always list the outcome in the main draw so that bettors can bet on this market without having to familiarize themselves with the full range of available markets. Outcome bets in basketball are equally popular among both beginners and professional cappers.
Compatible with MM
High odds for a draw in basketball on the example of the Los Angeles Clippers - Dallas Mavericks match.
The strategy perfectly adapts to any form of bank management, with the exception of methods that involve betting at high odds. Usually bettors play catch-up or flat, but Miller, Kelly, Fibonacci strategies can also be used.
The overall assessment of the strategy is 10 points.
Why are not all matches suitable for the total betting strategy?
Why is the exit strategy one of the most popular strategies in basketball?
What is the safest way to bet on an outcome?
What is the best way to play by outcome strategy: in LIVE or in Prematch mode?
Goal betting strategy
Long-term line of bets on reaching the playoffs of NBA Western Confederation clubs.
In this case, bettors will have to determine the winner not of a separate match, but of the championship favorite, which is much more difficult (2, eng.). This strategy cannot be called popular, as players often treat long-term markets with apprehension. Moreover, bets on the "pass" are not presented in every bookmaker's office, and even if the company accepts a bet on the winner of the tournament, then usually it is only about the NBA, while European national championships are simply ignored by bookmakers.
Risks
The strategy has an extremely high level of risks, since it is very difficult to predict the winner of the entire season. It would be much easier to determine the favorite of the Division or the Confederation, but the bookmakers preferred to abandon such a market. The "pass" of each team is influenced by too many factors that simply cannot be taken into account, and not all information is publicly available.
Stability
Passing bets usually have very low stability, but basketball compares favorably with other sports in this respect. If we talk about the top Major Leagues, for example, the NBA, for several years in a row, the same clubs have been in the top five favorites. But this does not give any guarantees to the bettor. Golden State has made the playoffs five times over the past ten seasons, but the team has only managed to become a champion three times.
Complexity
The analysis of statistics in this case does not affect the passability of the bet. The pass betting strategy in basketball is based on the peculiarities of bank management, while bets are made only after a superficial assessment of recent championship seasons. The difficulty is that in order to increase the level of passability of the bet, the bettor needs to find information about each club, about the latest transfers, about changes in the coaching staff, etc.
Popularity
Since bookmakers rarely offer this market for betting, bettors are often unaware of the existence of this type of bet. But even in the specialized or largest bookmakers, where long-term bets are presented in separate lines, the pass market is not in great demand. Beginners are repelled by such bets with a low level of patency, while experienced bettors see an increased and uneven betting margin, which only complicates the game for the “long-term”.
Compatibility with bank management
Distribution of quotations for favorites of the last NBA season. Even for the victory of the most likely winner of the Brooklyn BC tournament, the bookmaker offers a high odds.
The strategy is not compatible with any of the popular gaming strategies, as it involves the use of a unique bank management technique. The bettor needs to individually calculate the size of each bet, find several bookmakers with the highest quotes for a number of tournament favorites, and, depending on the odds, already determine the size of each bet. The total amount of all bets must not exceed the value of the potential profit at the minimum coefficient.
Overall assessment of the strategy - 1 point.
Total betting strategy
Total betting in the Portland-Denver basketball game.
Since basketball is recognized as the most productive sports discipline, betting on totals in basketball matches is of particular importance. Bettors are invited to determine several indicators: how many points will be scored by both teams within the match, how many will be scored by each specific club, and what will be the total within a certain period of time (3, eng.). The classic strategy involves betting on the main market - the total total of the confrontation.
Risks
The strategy does not imply high risks. According to statistics, even bets on the spread point - the average value of the total - pass with a probability of 55-60%. If we talk about lower values, the permeability can be even higher. The strategy provides clear rules for the selection of matches, which has a positive effect on the overall profitability at a distance.
Stability
Stability can always be seen in statistics. There are objectively productive clubs, there are less productive ones. It is enough to estimate the average value of IT (individual total) of the team in the current season. This information is often provided by the bookmakers themselves and is always publicly available. Accidents in betting on totals rarely occur, mainly in confrontations between top equal teams.
Difficulty
The only difficulty lies in the fact that in the Prematch mode, bookmakers carefully set the total values for bets, and it is not always possible to find the right position in the list. Also, some bookmakers deliberately ignore the spread point in order to complicate the game conditions for clients. But due to the large assortment of bookmakers with unique lines, these difficulties can be easily bypassed.
Popularity
In terms of popularity, bets on totals are inferior only to bets on the "outcome". Often these two markets are even used in conjunction to increase the bet odds. The total is fairly easy to predict, statistics for this market are presented on almost every thematic site, so performance bets are in demand even among beginner bettors.
Compatibility with money management
Variability of bets on totals on the example of the basketball game "Milwaukee - Brooklyn".
You can play for the total by absolutely any method. If you bet on the spread point, you can even use extremely aggressive forms of bank management, since the odds allow you to use both the Martingale and d'Alembert's tactics. Experienced players prefer to form corridors on the totals, which reduces the possible risks to a minimum.
The overall score of the strategy is 9.
What is the safest strategy for totals?
Why is total strategy so popular in basketball?
What types of bets on totals can be used in basketball?
What are the best bookmakers to bet on basketball totals?
Betting strategy to win with a handicap
Gaming markets for basketball handicap in the Atlanta Hawks - New York Knicks match.
Handicap bets are bets on the outcome, but with a certain advantage, which the bettor provides to one of the clubs even before the start of the match. A positive handicap significantly minimizes the risks, but the player will have to sacrifice the level of odds, and hence the size of the potential profit (4, eng.). If we talk about negative handicaps, the risks will only increase, but the level of quotes will be even higher than for the usual outcome. Each type of handicap has an individual game strategy that determines the order in which matches are selected for betting, which allows you to achieve acceptable cross-country ability.
Risks
If you play according to strategies and strictly follow their conditions, the risks remain minimal. A positive handicap with a high value practically guarantees a successful bet pass, the only risk is that even one loss can cause significant damage to the bank. A negative handicap has a more favorable ratio of risks and quotes presented by bookmakers.
Stability
It is hard to imagine more stable rates than betting with a handicap. Handicaps give bettors a kind of insurance to make betting on an outcome even safer. Negative odds also remain quite stable, because it is not necessary to expect that in the confrontation between a strong favorite and a weak outsider, the score will differ by only a few units.
Difficulty
All the data necessary for the strategy game can be clearly seen in the club statistics. The bettor will only need to evaluate the last few confrontations of each team, paying special attention to face-to-face meetings. The handicap betting strategy has clear conditions for the selection of matches, but they are not complicated and will be clear even to beginners.
Popularity
Handicap bets are extremely popular in any sports discipline and basketball is no exception. Beginners are attracted by the increased cross-country ability, which the strategy provides at a distance, and professional bettors by high odds for reverse odds. This market allows you to significantly increase quotes with a slight increase in the level of risks.
Compatibility with MM
Variety of bets on handicaps in the UNICS - CSKA M match: handicap based on total time, handicap including overtime, half handicap and quarter handicap.
Handicap bets can be applied with different financial methods. But it should be borne in mind that betting on a positive handicap does not imply the possibility of playing with aggressive tactics. The reverse handicap is more multifunctional, it is possible to play here with a catch-up, a tank attack, and d'Alembert.
Overall assessment of the strategy - 10 points.
Betting strategies for quarters and halves
Betting on the first quarter of the Miami-Milwaukee basketball game at Bettery bookmaker.
In this case, the bettor will need to determine not the overall outcome of the match, but the result for a certain period of time. Basketball meetings are held in four quarters, 10 minutes each (in some cases, 12 minutes: NBA, Philippine basketball). The first two quarters are called half. It should be borne in mind that in the intervals of time the results may differ significantly from the final results of the match. But in the case of basketball confrontations, this is not as critical as in football or hockey.
Risks
Strategies have increased risks, since it is always more difficult to determine the outcome of a particular period of time. Even the usual unsuccessful series of attacks by the favorite can affect the passage of the bet, despite the fact that the favorite still ends the meeting in his favor. According to statistics, only one of the quarters goes to an outsider, so the risks can be called "moderate".
Stability
With the right selection of matches and analysis of statistics, you can achieve a pass rate of 70%. At the same time, the level of odds by a quarter or a half often differs from what the bookmaker offers in classic bets on the outcome - quotes become significantly higher. This allows you to compensate for the increased risk of losing and achieve performance at a distance no worse than in the case of betting on the classic outcome.
Difficulty
The analysis of statistics is carried out in the same way as in the strategies for the normal outcome. The only difference is that the bettor will have to determine the most productive moment of the game in the last matches of each club, especially the favorite. This allows you to determine at what point in the match the team has the most active game.
Popularity
Beginners often prefer outcome bets, as this market entails less risk and does not require such a detailed analysis of statistics. Betting strategies for periods of time are used mainly by experienced bettors, since for them this is one of the opportunities to increase the level of odds.
Compatible with money management
Painting for the NBA match “Philadelphia – Atlanta”. Pay attention to the variability of bets on quarters: totals, handicaps, double outcome, parity of totals and IT.
Any form of bank management is combined with betting on quarter and half selections. For fans of aggressive game models, quarter bets have become one of the most sought-after markets in basketball mural. A classic flat or a fixed profit will turn out to be no less profitable, since the patency of rates, subject to the fulfillment of the requirements of the strategy, will exceed 50%.
Overall assessment of strategies – 6 points each.
What is the main advantage of betting on basketball quarters?
Which markets are most commonly used in basketball quarter strategy?
Why do many strategies not fit all basketball tournaments?
What is the best game mode to use strategy?
Betting strategy for players
Bets on players in the match “Portland – Denver” in the Fonbet bookmaker line.
Betting on players is one of the most dangerous and unpredictable strategies in basketball. First, it’s worth saying right away that the strategy is not popular with players. Secondly, bookmakers are also in no hurry to provide separate lines with such markets, and only occasionally accept bets on the performance of NBA basketball players, European Leagues are ignored in 99% of cases (5, eng. ). In this case, there is no need for high cross-country ability, since it is almost impossible to determine the nature of the game of a particular athlete in team disciplines.
Risks
The strategy has an incommensurable level of risks, which is absolutely not regulated by coefficients. Additional difficulties are created by the rules for calculating individual bets provided by bookmakers. If a basketball player touches the ball at least once during the match, the market becomes active. And if after just a couple of minutes he went to the bench, the chances of losing increase even more.
Consistency
Basketball players don't tend to play consistently like any other athletes. There are too many factors that affect the nature of the game, ranging from general well-being to difficulties in personal life. It is impossible to predict such moments, so bets on the performance of players can be called for the most part "entertaining".
Difficulty
Complete and detailed statistics that would allow at least a relatively professional approach to predicting the behavior of a basketball player in the upcoming match simply do not exist. The strategy involves the use of statistics from past seasons, but this information can only give a superficial idea of \u200b\u200bthe nature of an athlete's game. Much more often bettors in betting on this market simply rely on their own intuition.
Popularity
The strategy is not popular, and bookmakers do nothing to popularize this market. Only in rare companies can be seen in the list of bets on the performance of the players, but they also tend to lay unreasonably high margins in such markets. Forecasting such complex line positions is difficult even for betting analysts.
Bank management compatibility
High individual odds on Brooklyn and Milwaukee players in the NBA Playoffs.
In this case, neither classical bank management methods nor aggressive forms of MM can be used. The size of the bet is determined individually by the bettor, but in any case, this does not allow us to talk about profitability at a distance. Clients of the bookmaker often bet on the performance of basketball players “how much it is not a pity to lose”, and sometimes they manage to win really good amounts. True, this happens very rarely.
Overall assessment of the strategy - 1 point.
Basketball betting strategy
Basketball is one of the most popular sports for betting because there are so many outcomes to bet on. In the list of well-known bookmakers there is always an abundance of basketball matches played every day. In this regard, bettors have created several effective basketball betting strategies for matches of the NBA and other leagues to get the maximum benefit from this sport.
Among them there are both unique ones, used only in basketball, and universal ones, when corrected, they can be used in other sports disciplines.
Contents of the page
Basketball betting strategies and their essence
Basketball betting has the advantage of having four match segments. If in football there are only 2 halves, then in basketball there are 4 quarters. And besides regular time, in basketball bets can be made separately for each period.
How to bet on an underdog in basketball?
If you are not sure who will win the match, bet on the underdog to win in a particular period. Quarter betting always helps bettors when they don't want to risk predicting the outcome of a match. In such cases, the strategy for an outsider in basketball in a separate quarter will help.
The team, being much weaker than its opponent, is able to take at least one quarter. This is confirmed by statistics. The main thing is to predict the period in which the underdog can win. The technique is based on the game with catch-up.
At the beginning of the match, it is impossible to determine which quarter the bet will go to. Use catch-up by spreading your bankroll over the entire game. First, bet on the underdog to win in the first period. In case of loss, for the second quarter, increase the bet by 2.5 times. The size of any next bet is calculated by the formula:
*losses + target earnings/coefficient - 1
When you win a quarter with an underdog, you will not only compensate for your losses, but also receive an income equivalent to the size of the first bet on top. The underdog strategy in quarter-by-quarter basketball doesn't work when the favorite wins all periods. But this rarely happens. And if this happens, continue to use the strategy in the next match.
Basketball underdog strategy example
Boston Celtics vs. Pistons. For the first quarter, the bookmaker offers a handicap of -2.5/+2.5 points at odds of 1.80. We put 100 hryvnia on the Pistons. The first period is won by the Boston Celtics with a score of 34:29. The bet doesn't work.
Second period - similar odds for the handicap from the bookmaker. Again we put on the Pistons, but already 250 hryvnia. The second quarter is again won by the Boston Celtics with a score of 26:22 - the handicap does not enter.
The third rate is already 562.5 hryvnias. Bet on Pistons to win with a handicap (+3.5) at odds of 1.80. In the third period, a draw 28:28. Your bet won, and the net profit was 100 hryvnia. To earn more, you need to keep betting on basketball, finding matches between underdogs and favorites.
How to choose matches for strategy?
Underdog basketball betting strategy is ideal for NBA, Italian, French, German and Czech championships. What else needs to be analyzed:
in the last few seasons in head-to-head meetings, both teams should win quarters;
in the statistics of the season, none of the teams should have lost all quarters in a row;
look for outsiders who are included in the game from the 3rd period.
Advantages and disadvantages
Pros
Cons
An outsider almost never loses all 4 periods.
You need to carefully select matches for the strategy. But there are no exact search criteria and they are all subjective.
Having won in the first two quarters, the favorite gives the initiative to the rivals and gives the leading players a break.
It is recommended to use the catch-up method only with a large playing bank.
Bookmakers sometimes set overestimated odds, incorrectly assessing the strength of opponents during the match.
Catching up can be limited due to maximum bet limits when a player has lost several times in a row and needs to bet a large amount to win back.
Features of the basketball betting strategy for the quarter total
The strategy is similar to the previous one, since the catch-up method is also used here. Brings profit in matches with odds of 1.80 and above. This is a necessary condition to evenly increase the size of the bet. If the coefficient is 2.0, then if you lose, the next bet is enough to double. The player can choose the overall or individual total, as well as predict the even or odd total of the match.
An example of a basketball betting strategy for a quarter total
For a match between the Cavaliers and the Bulls, bookmakers offer odds of 2.0 on a quarter total over 54.5. For the first quarter we put 100 hryvnia. The score on the scoreboard after the first period is 30:21. The bet is on fire. For the second period, bet 200 hryvnia. The teams played with a score of 24:30. A little unlucky and the bet went bust again. In the third period, we bet already 400 hryvnia. Score 33:24. The bet on over 54.5 won. You receive a net income of 100 hryvnia.
Match selection criteria
When choosing this tactic, look for matches in the highest scoring basketball leagues such as the NBA, Spanish, Turkish and German championships. Before choosing a match, the following parameters should be taken into account:
odds for the total quarter from 1.80 and above;
attacking teams should meet, during the season both throwing a lot and missing a lot;
In the NBA, betting on quarter overs is best suited for high-scoring teams such as the Toronto Reports, Houston Rockets, Golden State Warriors and Oklahoma City.
Advantages and disadvantages
Pros
Cons
Over 54. 5 odds are often high and teams often break this total.
It is necessary to plan the bank correctly and prepare for the situation when the first 3 periods do not enter, and the bookmaker lowers rates for the last quarter. Then you will have to increase the bet size by more than 2 times.
In the long run, the strategy of betting on basketball on the total quarter brings the player into a plus.
The strategy is based on the theory of probability.
—
Need a big bankroll to make money in the long run.
How to win using the middle?
In basketball, this is an ideal and win-win strategy. Carefully watch the bookmakers' lines, look for opposite handicaps or totals for different teams with a coefficient of at least 2.0.
An example of a basketball bet using the corridor strategy
Bookmaker A offers a bet with odds of 2.0 on the victory of the Chemists with a handicap (-4. 5) over the Mavps. At bookmaker B we find a bet with a similar odds of 2.0, only on the victory of Mavp with a handicap (+6.5). If you bet 100 hryvnia on both outcomes in separate bookmakers, we will have 3 possible outcomes:
Chemists won by 7 points or more. The bet on the handicap (-4.5) comes in and we get a win of 200 hryvnia. We go to zero.
Chemists won by 4 points or less, the match ended in a draw or Mavp won - only a bet on Mavp with a handicap (+6.5) will play. We win 200 hryvnia. We don't earn anything, but we don't lose anything either.
Chemists won with a difference of 5 or 6 points - so we get into the corridor, for which we use the strategy of betting on basketball. In this case, both bets will play and we will win 400 hryvnia.
How to choose a lineout match?
Finding a match to use the middle is difficult, but attentive and experienced bettors in a dynamic game find such surebets. To search for a corridor, you need to:
find two opposite and intersecting outcomes, by type TB 200 and TM 210 - the odds for the outcomes should be approximately the same;
look for matches with a score difference of at least 3-4 in order to get into this range (middle) and both bets are in – the greater the difference, the higher the chance of a middle and winning;
Calculate the probability of the corridor according to the formula: (100/coefficient BK1 + 100/coefficient BK2) - 100.
The advantages and disadvantages
Plus
Minuses
9000
The free -playing methodology.
Difficulties in finding the middle even with a difference of 3 points.
Even if one bet fails, the second will cover the losses.
You need to be able to quickly find overlapping outcomes in live at approximately equal odds. And even more difficult - to have time to get into the corridor.
In basketball, the points difference between two teams can be huge. Therefore, the strategy of betting on basketball using the corridor is most suitable for the day of this sport.
Bookmakers are struggling with bettors who play according to the corridor strategy. The player can reduce the betting limit or even prohibit him from betting in a particular bookmaker.
Basketball bets according to Shchukin's strategy
The principle of the method consists in a detailed study of two teams before the upcoming match:
View the statistics of the season of the team that will play at home. We sum up all the points earned by its players. Divide the amount received by the number of games played and find out the average points earned per game. We add 3 to the average. We again analyze the matches played in the season and add 1 for each win, and subtract 1.5 for the loss.
We carry out the above procedure with an away opponent.
Checking head-to-head statistics for the last 2-3 seasons. We calculate the average points earned for each team and add them to the numbers obtained in paragraph 1 and 2, respectively. The result is divided by 2.
The figures calculated above will help you to know the approximate score in the upcoming game.
An example of using a basketball betting strategy from Shchukin
Match Budivelnik against Kyiv Basket. Bookmakers have set the same odds of 1.40 for TM 170 and TB 170. If during the calculations you got an average total of 160, feel free to bet on the total less. By the same principle, you can calculate an individual total, handicap, and find out the probable winner.
Match selection tips for Shchukin's strategy
do not use strategy for matches where teams meet each other for the first time;
do not bet on friendly matches;
choose games if the total calculated according to the average values differs from the bookmaker's total by 5 or more points.
Advantages and disadvantages
Pros
Cons
Total and other betting options can be calculated using this method.
You need to be careful when doing mathematical calculations.
-
You will have to spend time looking for statistics. And if, after the calculations, your indicators differ little from the bookmaker’s, you will have to look for another match.
Conclusion
Among the main betting strategies on basketball, one of the most profitable betting strategies is considered to be an outsider's victory in a quarter using the catch-up method.
1 What is the best NBA betting strategy?
But, one that we’ve grown to enjoy, is the NBA underdog moneyline betting strategy. It’s simple to implement, too: just look for tight contests where one team is expected to lose and put your money on the underdog.
It’s not that they never happen; we’ve all seen our favorite team get trounced by 20 at one time or another. It’s just statistically unlikely, so you’re better off leaving this -18.5 spread alone, or checking the NBA betting app’s alternate spread for a closer score.
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Sit tight: statistically speaking, teams tend to put up more points in quarters three and four, as defenses tire and sharpshooters hone in on the basket.
But below we’ve listed three strategies that we’ve personally found success with over the years.
Some of the best NBA betting sites, such as DraftKings, allow bettors to view what other bettors have been wagering on. Check it out and go against the grain – it’s really that simple.
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CELTICS BEAT THE PACERS 128-123 IN BOSTON FRIDAY, THEY ARE 7-2 SU (6-3 ATS) THEIR LAST 9. J. TATUM (KNEE) IS PROBABLE. WIZARDS HAVE WON 2 OF 3 MEETINGS TY, THEY LAST MET JAN 23 CELTICS WON 116-87 AT WASHINGTON. CELTICS ARE 27-13 SU (17-21-2 ATS) AT HOME AND WIZARDS ARE 2-6 ATS THEIR LAST 8 ROAD GAMES. CELTICS ARE 3 SEED HALF GB OF BUCKS AND HALF GAME AHEAD OF 76ERS WHILE WIZARDS HAVE BEEN ELIMINATED FROM PLAYOFFS. 
THIS IS A “MUST GAME” FOR THE LAKERS, NUGGETS EMBARRASSED THEM BY 37 POINTS BACK IN JANUARY. IF BOTH JAMES (40 MINUTES LAST GAME) AND DAVIS (37 MINUTES LAST GAME) PLAY, AS I EXPECT THEY WILL… 
PACERS ARE 3 GAMES UP ON PISTONS AND PISTONS ARE 2 GAMES AHEAD OF HOUSTON AND ORLANDO FOR WORST RECORD IN NBA. 
F. WAGNER (ANKLE) LEFT LAST GAME AND IS OUT C. ANTHONY (TOE) HAS BEEDN UPGRADED TO PROBABLE AND W. CARTER JR. (WRIST) REMAINS OUT. MAGIC HAVE WON 2 OF 3 MEETINGS TY BOTH IN NEW YORK, THEY LAST MET NOV 17 MAGIC WON 104-98. KNICKS ARE 8-1 ATS THEIR LAST 9 ROAD GAMES AND 6-1 ATS THEIR LAST 7 ON B2B. MAGIC ARE 1-5 ATS THEIR LAST 6 HOME GAMES AND 10-28 SU (13-25 ATS) AT HOME ON TY. KNICKS ARE OUT OF PLAYOFF CONTENTION WHILE THE MAGIC ARE TIED WITH ROCKETS FOR WORST RECORD IN NBA. 
SUNS ARE 9-4 ATS THEIR LAST 13 ROAD GAMES AND THUNDER ARE 10-29 SU (19-16-4 ATS) AT HOME. SUNS ARE LOCKED IN 1 SEED RESTING PLAYERS WHILE OKC IS 2.5 GAMES AHEAD OF ORL/HOU FOR WORST RECORD IN NBA. 
OG ANUNOBY (THIGH) IS A LATE SCRATCH. RAPTORS HAVE WON 2 OF 3 MEETINGS TY, THEY LAST MET FEB 1 RAPTORS WON 110-106 IN TORONTO. HEAT ARE 9-1-1 ATS THEIR LAST 11 ROAD GAMES AND RAPTORS ARE 21-16 SU (19-18 ATS) AT HOME. HEAT ARE 1 SEED 1.5 GAMES AHEAD OF BUCKS WHILE RAPTORS ARE 5 SEED HALF GAME AHEAD OF BULLS AND 2 GB 76’ERS. 
5
CLIPPERS ARE 4TH GAME IN 6 DAYS AFTER THEY BEAT THE BUCKS 153-119 AT MILWAUKEE FRIDAY WHILE THEY RESTED P. GEORGE, M. MORRIS, R. JACKSON, AND N. BATUM, L.A. HAS WON 2 OF 3 GAMES AFTER A 5 GAME LOSING STREAK. PELICANS HAVE WON AND COVERED 5 STRAIGHT MEETINGS INCLUDING ALL 3 TY BY A COMBINED 56 PTS. CLIPPERS ARE 21-16 SU (17-20 ATS) AT HOME AND PELICANS ARE 12-3 ATS THEIR LAST 15 ROAD GAMES. THIS IS A POTENTIAL MATCHUP IN 2ND ROUND OF PLAY IN GAME, PELICANS ARE 9 SEED 2 GAMES AHEAD OF SPURS AND 3.5 GAMES BACK OF CLIPPERS WHO ARE VIRTUALLY LOCKED IN 8 SEED.
Each has a detailed description and rationale for the rating. 
It is necessary to talk about risks only at the time of betting on equivalent clubs, but the strategy clearly regulates the rules for selecting a match and allows you to skip risky events. 
Often, even bookmakers provide such information in order to simplify the task for their customers. 
It would be much easier to determine the favorite of the Division or the Confederation, but the bookmakers preferred to abandon such a market. The "pass" of each team is influenced by too many factors that simply cannot be taken into account, and not all information is publicly available. 
The difficulty is that in order to increase the level of passability of the bet, the bettor needs to find information about each club, about the latest transfers, about changes in the coaching staff, etc. 
The bettor needs to individually calculate the size of each bet, find several bookmakers with the highest quotes for a number of tournament favorites, and, depending on the odds, already determine the size of each bet. The total amount of all bets must not exceed the value of the potential profit at the minimum coefficient. 
According to statistics, even bets on the spread point - the average value of the total - pass with a probability of 55-60%. If we talk about lower values, the permeability can be even higher. The strategy provides clear rules for the selection of matches, which has a positive effect on the overall profitability at a distance. 
But due to the large assortment of bookmakers with unique lines, these difficulties can be easily bypassed. 
Each type of handicap has an individual game strategy that determines the order in which matches are selected for betting, which allows you to achieve acceptable cross-country ability. 
The bettor will only need to evaluate the last few confrontations of each team, paying special attention to face-to-face meetings. The handicap betting strategy has clear conditions for the selection of matches, but they are not complicated and will be clear even to beginners. 
The reverse handicap is more multifunctional, it is possible to play here with a catch-up, a tank attack, and d'Alembert. 
Even the usual unsuccessful series of attacks by the favorite can affect the passage of the bet, despite the fact that the favorite still ends the meeting in his favor. According to statistics, only one of the quarters goes to an outsider, so the risks can be called "moderate". 
This allows you to determine at what point in the match the team has the most active game. 
). In this case, there is no need for high cross-country ability, since it is almost impossible to determine the nature of the game of a particular athlete in team disciplines. 
The strategy involves the use of statistics from past seasons, but this information can only give a superficial idea of \u200b\u200bthe nature of an athlete's game. Much more often bettors in betting on this market simply rely on their own intuition. 
True, this happens very rarely. 
The underdog strategy in quarter-by-quarter basketball doesn't work when the favorite wins all periods. But this rarely happens. And if this happens, continue to use the strategy in the next match. 
The score on the scoreboard after the first period is 30:21. The bet is on fire. For the second period, bet 200 hryvnia. The teams played with a score of 24:30. A little unlucky and the bet went bust again. In the third period, we bet already 400 hryvnia. Score 33:24. The bet on over 54.5 won. You receive a net income of 100 hryvnia. 
5 odds are often high and teams often break this total. 
5) over the Mavps. At bookmaker B we find a bet with a similar odds of 2.0, only on the victory of Mavp with a handicap (+6.5). If you bet 100 hryvnia on both outcomes in separate bookmakers, we will have 3 possible outcomes: 
We sum up all the points earned by its players. Divide the amount received by the number of games played and find out the average points earned per game. We add 3 to the average. We again analyze the matches played in the season and add 1 for each win, and subtract 1.5 for the loss. 
