How to win betting on basketball

Best NBA Betting Strategies & Tips 2022

If you want to consistently rake in winnings at online sportsbooks, you might want to pick a site that provides a wealth of NBA betting strategies & tips.

By picking a sportsbook that offers instant access to the latest news, game previews, NBA Picks, blogs, vlogs, etc., you’ll be better placed to make wiser choices when selecting that next killer parlay.

It’s important stuff! So, read on to learn more about NBA betting strategies and discover a host of top NBA betting tips.

Best NBA Betting Strategy Sites

Contents

• 1 NBA Betting Strategy: Tips on the Main Game Lines
  • 1. 1 1.NBA Over Under Tips (Total Points)
  • 1.2 2.NBA Moneyline Betting Strategy
  • 1.3 3.NBA Spread Betting Strategy: ‘No Blowouts!’
• 2 Discover Our Top Betting Guides
• 3 NBA Live Betting Strategy
  • 3.1 NBA Betting Strategy: Always Pay Attention to the Team’s Schedule
  • 3.2 NBA Betting Strategy: Check the Lineups and Injury News
  • 3.3 NBA Over Under Betting Strategy
  • 3.4 NBA Betting Strategy: “NBA Vegas Odds Know Best”
• 4 Most Successful NBA Betting Strategy
  • 4.1 NBA Quarter Betting Strategy
  • 4.2 The Contrarian Betting Strategy NBA
  • 4.3 NBA Underdog Moneyline Betting Strategy
• 5 NBA Free Picks
• 6 Grab The Best Promo Codes With Our Reviews
• 7 Conclusion: Best NBA Betting Sites for Strategy and Tips
  • 7.1 BetUSA – Best NBA Betting Strategy Site for Blogs/Vlogs
  • 7.2 MyBookie – Best Blogs for NBA Betting Strategy
  • 7.3 What is the best NBA betting strategy?
  • 7. 4 How to bet on the NBA?
  • 7.5 What should I look for when betting on NBA?
  • 7.6 Is NBA betting easy?
  • 7.7 Can NBA players bet on themselves?

So long as you’ve signed up to a sportsbook and familiarized yourself with betting options available, you’re free to get down to the nitty-gritty of establishing your very own NBA betting strategies.

Seeing as these game lines feature on all NBA betting sites, we’ve listed a tried and tested tip for each of the moneyline, point spread, and total points markets. There are literally hundreds of other strategies for each line, (a selection of which will be covered further down the page).

These are by no means the best tips – just a safe tip for each line to get us going. And also to reintroduce the premier NBA betting lines (just in case you’ve landed on this page without reading our ‘How to bet on the NBA’ article).

The total points NBA betting line involves predicting the combined number of points scored by both teams and whether or not the said total will go over or under the number specified by the oddsmakers (O220.5, or U220.5 in the NBA Finals example given above, for instance).

The most important thing to do here is to study the total points scored in previous encounters between the two teams, and also the recent points totals; perhaps just for the last 5 games for each team. We recommend figuring out a mean average over the last 5.

If the team you are wagering on – let’s say the Suns –  only scored an average of 90 points in their last five, – and especially if the field goal percentage is down low – then it’s probable that the Suns struggle to put up points the next game, too.

Try to make things as predictable as you can!

There are numerous NBA betting strategies on the moneyline. But, one that we’ve grown to enjoy, is the NBA underdog moneyline betting strategy. It’s simple to implement, too: just look for tight contests where one team is expected to lose and put your money on the underdog.

This one pretty much comes out of the daytrader’s handbook – the idea being that you win more when you win, and lose less when you lose. You may even lose more bets than you win. But the odds will always be in your favor and you’ll be winning more money when you do win.

Obviously, this doesn’t mean you take the NBA’s bottom-ranked team vs. the NBA’s top-ranked team every week. It means that you look for value in closely contested games, such as in the image above.

Imagine you log into your favored NBA betting app to find that the Phoenix Suns have opened up as massive -18.5 favorites vs. Milwaukee Bucks (as above). The Suns have been tasked with not only beating the Bucks but humiliating them; running away with a 19 point W!

Should you take this bet on the spread? Well, this NBA point spread betting system says, ‘no!’ The ‘No Blowouts on the Spread’ rule suggests not wagering on such results. It’s not that they never happen; we’ve all seen our favorite team get trounced by 20 at one time or another. It’s just statistically unlikely, so you’re better off leaving this -18.5 spread alone, or checking the NBA betting app’s alternate spread for a closer score.

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Implementing an NBA live betting strategy – that is, betting while the game is in progress –  is a lot of fun, especially if you’re watching a game on TV that you’re not spiritually invested in. But ‘How to win betting on live NBA’ is a bit of a loaded question – if we knew that; we’d all be sipping champagne in Seychelles right now. What we can tell you, though, is ‘how to win more often,’ and ‘how to lose less when you do lose.

Follow these basic basketball betting tips below for a much better chance of exiting an NBA live betting session in the green.

Statistics suggest that teams playing 3-4x per week tire and struggle to uphold consistency; particularly during the second half of a game, so keep an eye on the schedule, especially when you notice a top-ranked team has been given better than usual odds.

Milwaukee Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo is a monster in the paint and, when fit, a live bet on the Greek Freak to go over on +30 points at +500 would be a good shout. But, did you do your research? Research is a crucial part of any safe NBA betting strategy. It’s possible Giannis is carrying an injury or had a rough week emotionally, or perhaps he historically struggles in double-coverage vs. this week’s D – whatever. But don’t just bet on a name and assume the name is going to perform.

Oddsmakers always do their research; there will be a reason one of the league’s best players is listed at +500, and the reason isn’t that sportsbooks want to give away money.

NBA teams consistently score more points in the second half. If you’ve wagered on the over/under game line for the Orlando Magic to go O210 points vs. Boston Celtics, but it’s just 40-45 at the half – don’t stress; don’t cash out (that’s what they want!). Sit tight: statistically speaking, teams tend to put up more points in quarters three and four, as defenses tire and sharpshooters hone in on the basket.

Another tip for the over/ under market is to not overthink what’s happening during the game so much. Oddsmakers – especially Vegas NBA oddsmakers – tend to be very close to spot on with predictions – that’s why they’re hired! Chances are the score will end at close to what the Vegas oddsmakers said it would prior to the tip. So, again, don’t panic; sit tight and wait for your NBA betting strategy to pay dividends.

As mentioned, there are many hundreds more NBA betting tips and strategies for the NBA point spread, et al when betting live, in-play. We’re just hoping to whet your appetite for some further reading.

The ‘most successful sports betting strategy is likely to change depending on who you talk to on any given day. But below we’ve listed three strategies that we’ve personally found success with over the years.

One strategy that has nothing to do with stats or research is the NBA quarter’s betting strategy. All you need to do here is to bet on the team that lost the first quarter and then double up if they lose the second quarter and then double up again if they lose the third quarter. It is rare for a team to win and cover the spread in all four quarters of an NBA game; the said team might not win the game but, eventually, they’ll win a quarter – even if it is just because the dominant team opts to rest key players during the latter stages.

Put simply, NBA sportsbooks remain in business because the general gambling public, drunk on Bud during the big game, tend to get things wrong. Taking the contrarian position just means going against the crowd and is a tactic employed by several world-famous daytraders to boot. Some of the best NBA betting sites, such as DraftKings, allow bettors to view what other bettors have been wagering on. Check it out and go against the grain – it’s really that simple.

We mentioned this NBA sports betting strategy earlier, so shan’t go into too much extra detail. But, in essence, bettors tend not to win in the long run by simply betting on the favorite. Imagine you bet on the Atlanta Hawks as favorites three times at -100 with 66.6r% success. You would be even on your $300 investment. Imagine instead that you bet on the 76ers as the underdogs and at the same rate of success: you’re up to $100 profit, and you didn’t need to risk as much to make the $100 either. You see this betting tip appear all the time on NBA totals betting strategy forums and there is a reason for that.

Because wagering on NBA betting sites is now legal in so many states across the US there’s much less of a need to pay money to some bizarre group of oddsmaking specialists in Vegas to get your tips, as has been historically done in America.

Free NBA picks are available on such TV networks as ESPN (William Hill NBA odds) and Fox (FOXBET NBA odds). Most of the major sportsbooks publish NBA betting tips and have skilled groups of writers paid to pen the best NBA betting strategy for a specific game to hungry readers. A few notable places of interest include:

• DK Nation (Draftkings tips and forums, etc)
• BetUS (Free NBA Picks & easy access to stats)
• ESPN.com (every stat you’re likely to need)
• NBA.com (all the stats and all the news)

If you don’t trust the networks or their NBA betting apps, there are legions of other websites to visit that aren’t in direct partnerships with such companies. And, there are numerous NBA betting forums, too, where you can go to chat to like-minded folk to get their perspective and latest NBA betting tips. A few such search terms you might like to ‘Google’ are as follows:

• IG Tipping Pages
• NBA Twitter Picks

Plus, there’s always:

• Basketball Insiders (we aren’t affiliated with anyone in particular and the NBA betting advice we provide is basically what we’re going to be betting on)

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Conclusion: Best NBA Betting Sites for Strategy and Tips

Factoring in all the aforementioned crucial elements that help to make up a truly winning sportsbook when it comes to NBA betting strategy (tips/stats/picks/odds, etc.), the best offshore betting app, in our opinion, is:

A sportsbook and NBA betting app that broadcasts highly competitive basketball betting odds and a large selection of NBA lines to choose from, BetUS is a top choice of sportsbook on which to implement your betting strategy.

The attention to detail on the site does not go unnoticed: regular patrons can access up-to-date stats and metrics at the click of a button whilst navigating the game lines. It’s also possible to sift through all the latest player and team news whilst on the site, as well as to scope the BetUS NBA picks written by online gambling experts.

It’s almost as if the sportsbook wants you to win – (almost).

What we like:

• Deep markets for prop bets and NBA futures
• Parlay betting feature
• NBA Live betting is available
• $2,500 Risk-Free bet
• Stats and metrics are readily available at the click of a button
• Picks and latest news written by gambling experts accessible on-site – free
• Rewards patrons regularly with bonuses + referral bonus

What we don’t:

• No live streaming of NBA

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MyBookie – Best Blogs for NBA Betting Strategy

MyBookie has been operating since 2014 and in our opinion is one of the best sites to implement a winning NBA strategy. Their competitive odds, various betting options, and live betting make it the ideal place to place your wagers.

The site offers a myriad of betting options for NBA games, so whatever strategy you are going for with MyBookie you can implement it. It offers live betting, prop builders, and various futures. If you back Ja Morant to win MVP this season or Steph Curry to lead a fourth-quarter comeback, MyBookie has you covered.

The site also boasts a first-rate blog for the NBA with up-to-date team and player news, stats, results, and information on where and when you can find coverage of games. In addition, you can also find some top NBA tips from online gambling experts.

Bonuses and promotions are a key part of any online gambling site. Luckily, MyBookie has some of the best deals out there. If you are a new customer, you can receive up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus. It’s not only new users that are rewarded, existing customers can also receive a generous referral bonus.

What we like:

• Competitive odds
• NBA news and  betting tips  written by gambling experts
• Prop Builders available for NBA and various other sports
• NBA Live betting is available
• Free weekly competitions
• Generous deposit bonus + referral bonus
  

What we don’t:

• No live streaming of NBA games
• Not much in terms of live NBA in-game statistics

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What is the best NBA betting strategy?

How to bet on the NBA?

What should I look for when betting on NBA?

Is NBA betting easy?

Can NBA players bet on themselves?

Pro Tips for Smarter NBA Wagers

Jump to:

• Use a Basketball Betting Strategy
• How to Pick Which NBA Games to Bet On
• More NBA Betting Advice
• Shop Around for the Best Value on NBA Games

While the NFL is still the hottest sport among bettors in America, the NBA is narrowing the gap. According to a recent survey from Statista, 24% of all respondents said they had placed a bet on an NBA game. That’s a significant increase from years past, and it serves as a testament to the league’s growing popularity and accessibility.

Sportsbooks are wise to the sudden uptick of interest in the NBA and now offer more basketball props and odds than ever before. There has never been a better time to get off the sidelines and into the NBA betting game. Following these NBA betting tips will help you make smarter, more profitable wagers and provide insight on how to pick which NBA games to bet on.

Use a Basketball Betting Strategy

Professional basketball bettors have a shrewd ability to spot value in betting lines that comes from hundreds of hours of practice and a strong aptitude for math. That said, the pros have a couple of habits that are easy for amateur sports bettors to copy and will instantly lead to smarter NBA wagers.

Using a basketball betting strategy will allow you to approach betting on the sport through a more robust lens. You won’t be making simple guesses based on random insights, you’ll actually be able to execute a plan that can help you win a bet. It’s not enough to bet on the Milwaukee Bucks because you saw commercial of Giannis Antetokounmpo and thought he looked big and strong in it. You need to dig deeper and find out that he’s an NBA championship winner and one of the top players in the NBA every season.

These types of deeper insights will help you go from a rookie bettor to a seasoned sharp that knows exactly what they’re doing.

Use Your Head (Not Your Heart)

There is a tendency among amateur bettors to wager on their favorite teams to win. Sure, there are a few historically successful NBA dynasties like the Boston Celtics, Chicago Bulls and Los Angeles Lakers, but each team’s abilities and betting value change daily. You can’t capitalize on these changes if you’re only pulling for the hometown team.

The first step towards becoming a successful bettor is taking your emotions out of the equation.

The first step toward becoming a successful bettor is taking your emotions out of the equation. Forget about the posters you had on your wall growing up or the jersey you wore on your first day of junior high. Betting is serious business and it requires you to use your head, not your heart.

Know Your NBA History

Before laying down your hard-earned cash, take a moment to look at how teams have fared in head-to-head matchups in the past. LandofBasketball.com has a terrific interactive chart that tracks the all-time head-to-head records of every team in the league. It’s especially helpful when looking at veteran teams that have kept the same core intact for many seasons.

If you would like to view more recent results, you can also check out ESPN’s team comparisons for the current season here. These detailed pages provide standings, head-to-head matchups, stats leaders, offensive stats, and defensive analytics. To paraphrase George Santayana, “those who cannot learn from history are doomed to lose a fistful of cash. ”

But be careful about looking back too far. Rosters change every year, sometimes significantly. How the Cavaliers performed in 2013-14 has little bearing on how they’ll do this year. In fact, it had little bearing on how they performed in 2014-15 because a certain LeBron James returned to Cleveland that offseason.

Major personnel changes will have an immediate impact, but don’t discount the effect of smaller changes adding up over the years that result in drastically different lineups and team dynamics.

How to Pick Which NBA Games to Bet On

With 1,230 games played in a typical NBA regular season, there are lots of opportunities to get your basketball wagers in. Beyond simply looking for enticing lines, here are some additional suggestions that can help you decide which NBA games to bet on.

Pay Attention to Grudge Matches

When choosing who to bet on, keep an eye on so-called “grudge matches” or “revenge games” in which a recently traded player is facing his former employer for the first time. If they are a talented player, there’s a decent chance a strong grudge performance will be enough to will their new team to victory.

NBA players are only human, and they take getting traded very personally. Just look at the case of DeMarcus Cousins, who showed his displeasure towards the Kings by going off for 41 points, 23 rebounds, and six assists in his first trip back to Sacramento. Or how about Brook Lopez’s first game against the Brooklyn Nets, which brought a season-high 34 points and ten rebounds.

Consider the NBA Schedule

The NBA has done its best to minimize the effects of player fatigue by reducing the number of back-to-back games and eliminating stretches of four-games-in-five-nights. However, the league’s 82-game schedule remains a serious grind, and teams still average 14.4 back-to-back games from October to April.

Teams playing in the second game of a back-to-back win just 44% of the time.

When deciding which NBA games to bet on, keep a team’s schedule in mind before laying down your cash. Studies have shown that teams playing in the second game of a back-to-back stretch win just 44% of the time.

Number crunchers at Green and Gold Analytics have also found that a team’s net rating drops by 2.21 points per 100 possessions in the second game of back-to-back games. In other words, they’re considerably less efficient on offense and defense when they play on back-to-back nights. 2.21 points is a significant amount, and it can easily be the difference between covering the spread and losing a pile of money.

Don’t Forget Geography

Consider how far an NBA team must travel to get to its games, and how many time zones it passes through in the process. The Golden State Warriors, Portland Trail Blazers, and Minnesota Timberwolves routinely lead the NBA in miles traveled, while the Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers generally rack up the fewest air miles.

Players who travel less tend to be better rested and more energetic. That extra freshness can make a big difference at the end of regulation with the game on the line.

Remember that in the NBA, Home Court Advantage Matters

Most players prefer playing at home, but it may surprise you just how important home-court advantage really is in the modern NBA. According to a study conducted by ESPN,  61.2% of all NBA games have been won by the home team since 1975. While new studies suggest that this number is dropping, playing in your own arena remains a huge advantage – and a crucial one for bettors to consider.

That doesn’t mean you should only bet on home teams to win. It does, however, mean you should exercise caution when you’re tempted to put a lot of money on a road team.

Watch out for home underdogs who play in arenas known for home-court advantage as these games may offer some added value. For example, it’s well-documented that the altitude of Denver and Salt Lake City have long provided the Nuggets and Jazz with a distinct advantage over visiting teams, who often struggle to acclimate to lower oxygen levels in the air.

Study NBA Injury Reports

An injury to a key star can drastically change the outcome in any sport, but it’s especially damaging in basketball, where a single talented player can have such an outsized impact on both sides of the ball.

Consider the case of the 1996-97 San Antonio Spurs, who experienced a 39-game drop-off due to a season-ending injury to Hall of Fame center David Robinson. Or how about the 2011-12 Portland Trail Blazers, who experienced a 20-game drop-off of their own due to the absence of three-time All-Star Brandon Roy. More recently, the 2019-20 season saw the Golden State Warriors fall from five-straight NBA Finals appearances to last place and a .231 record in the absence of injured All-Stars Steph Curry and Klay Thompson.

Keep an eye on the injury reports before laying down your bet to ensure your bottom line doesn’t take a bigger beating than the guys on the injured list.

More NBA Betting Advice

Now that you have a sense of what to look for when choosing which NBA games to bet on, let’s consider a few other things to keep in mind when placing your bets.

Get to Know Coaching Tendencies

You can glean a lot from evaluating players, but the overall game plan is equally important to the success of an NBA team. Understanding the quirks and tendencies of NBA coaches is a key part of the equation when handicapping NBA games.  Consider the influence of coaching strategy on player statistics, as well. Certain coaches prefer to rest their best players during the fourth quarter of blowouts, thereby decreasing individual player stats and lowering the overall point total.

On the flip side, other coaches will continue to ride their stars into the ground, thereby driving up scores while also increasing the odds of fatigue and injury from one game to the next. Understanding these tendencies can be invaluable when predicting point spreads and final scores.

Understand Scoring and the Pace Factor

Before taking the over or under on a game total, there are two crucial stats you should consult. The first is Pace Factor, which is an estimate of the number of possessions a team will have per 48 minutes.  The NBA does an excellent job of tracking Pace Factor.

The second critical stat is team scoring, which the NBA tracks here. Team Scoring tracks the number of points a team scores per game and includes regulation and overtime points.

The highest-scoring teams aren’t always the ones with the highest Pace Factor, and vice versa. That’s because a fast pace often results in turnovers and erratic shooting.

If you examine both stats closely, you’ll notice that the highest-scoring teams aren’t always the ones with the highest Pace Factor and vice versa. That’s because a fast pace often results in turnovers and erratic shooting. Perform a side-by-side comparison to find the teams that excel at both.  Teams with strong showings on both fronts will average a high number of possessions per game and score efficiently with those possessions.

When you find matchups between two fast-paced, efficient offenses, you should strongly consider betting the “over. ” This isn’t a blanket rule, of course, since sportsbooks have access to the same information and may set the total extra high for such games.

Find the Story Behind the Numbers

Trends are valuable indicators, but they can also be misleading if you fail to consider the larger context behind the numbers. The fact that a team scored 110 points in its previous game doesn’t necessarily mean its offense is firing on all cylinders. Go back and look at how those points were scored. It’s possible the other team was resting its starters in anticipation of a long road trip, or they may have been playing shorthanded due to injuries or suspensions.

Spending the extra time to get the full picture behind the numbers is an investment in the success of your basketball bets. Simply put, your wagers need to be based on detailed insights to ensure long-term financial success.

Shop Around for the Best Value on NBA Games

Not all sportsbooks are created equal. You’ve probably noticed that many offer different odds and point spreads for the exact same basketball games. Take your time and shop around, looking for the best odds but also considering the bonus offers, range of betting lines, and other site features that are most important to you.

Not sure where to start? Here’s a list of some of the most trusted sports betting sites.

Keep Track of Your Results

Anyone can win a bet or two, but those looking to achieve long term success need to systematically record all their wagers.

Consider creating a spreadsheet that includes the date, sportsbook, wager, odds, final score, and your profit or loss. Include another column for observations and insights from the action. This data will help you refine your strategy and make more informed betting decisions.

As you track your profitability over time, you’ll notice the benefits of taking the time to perform detailed research on each of your wagers. Keep an eye on NBA basketball betting to keep up to date on the latest news and trends from around the Association, and enjoy the action!

strategy and system tips - how to win more often

Basketball (along with baseball and hockey) is one of the most popular sports in North America, and basketball betting takes a serious place in the total amount of sports betting. At the same time, the point here is not only (and even not so much) that it is in North America that the matches of the strongest basketball league in the world take place - the point is the number of equiprobable outcomes that the basketball line offers.

1. Benefits of betting on basketball
2. Disadvantages of betting on basketball
3. Types of bets
   1. Main Outcomes
   2. Handicap
   3. Total
      1. Basketball total betting strategy
   4. Quarter Basketball Betting
      1. Quarterly Basketball Betting Strategy
4. Pre-match analytics
5. Where to bet on basketball?

The vast majority of professional players and cappers, of which there are many in America, play just such “half-way” outcomes in order to get the most even profit over a long distance. In any basketball game, there are at least two equally likely events that you can bet on - handicap and total. It is thanks to this property that basketball has become one of the most popular objects for large bets.

Basketball bookmakers

Benefits of betting on basketball

A large number of equally likely events . As mentioned above, basketball is one of the most suitable sports for those who like to bet on equally likely events.

High NBA betting limits. The vast majority of big cappers make bets on the NBA, including the lion's share of US players who traditionally make big bets. In pursuit of this traffic, the best bookmakers are trying to create the most comfortable conditions for basketball betters by offering generous betting limits on the main outcomes, as well as handicap and total. True, this feature is more characteristic of large Western bookmakers. Domestic gambling establishments most often offer limits for NBA matches no higher than those given for the same Euroleague and the Russian Championship.

Low NBA margins. All the same competition between bookmakers in the struggle for the biggest players has led to the fact that in almost all leading gambling establishments in the world the margin for NBA matches is less than for all other competitions and sports offered in the line.

Regularity of games. The fact that most basketball teams play between two and four games a week makes this sport the most attractive for statistics lovers in calculations - the sample of analyzed NBA matches is very solid and allows you to make fairly accurate predictions. In addition, the NBA is often the only competition that can be bet on any day, including holidays - even on December 31 and January 1, at least two or three matches are invariably played in this league.

Disadvantages of betting on basketball

Low limits and odds for European competitions. Unlike NBA matches, European Cups and European Championship matches usually offer very modest upper betting limits; the odds are also generally 3-5 points lower than the NBA odds. All this makes betting on the same Euroleague not the most profitable business.

Rating of bookmakers by odds

You can find out which Russian bookmakers offer the best basketball odds on Legalbet in the Odds Rating (“Basketball” tab). Our experts have calculated the margins of all bookmakers based on real events in their lines and based on these calculations sorted the companies into categories in order to identify the best offers for fans of basketball betting.

Weak painting. The vast majority of bookmakers offer a weak list of basketball matches. Many are completely limited to handicap, total and main outcomes. Despite the fact that such painting is enough for professionals, for many players who are used to betting on football, it may seem very meager.

Types of bets

Main outcomes

The number of main outcomes offered for a basketball match depends on which bookmaker you play at. Some gambling establishments open three main outcomes: W1, X and W2, adding a win including overtime to the list, while others offer only two outcomes - W1 and W2 (this means that in case of a draw, the winner will be determined in overtime).

Before you start betting on basketball, it is very important to clarify which positions in a given gambling establishment take into account OT and which do not, because it often happens that the handicap with the total is calculated according to one rules, and the main outcomes are calculated according to others.

Handicap

Handicap in basketball shows the final score difference in favor of one of the teams. You are required to guess if it will be more or less than the specified value. For example, if you bet on a team with a handicap of -5.5, you need it to win at least 6 points. If you bet on it with a handicap of +5.5, you would be rooting for this team to lose no more than 5 points. The handicap in basketball is not much different from the handicap in other sports, and most bookmakers allow you to buy more handicaps, while most often the coefficient drops by 8-10 points for each point bought. You can usually buy in addition from 4 to 12 points (each office determines the exact value for itself).

Total

Total is a type of bet in which you have to predict whether the final result of the game will be more or less than the proposed value. Almost always, the coefficients for "more" and "less" are the same. Totals, as well as odds, can be bought in addition, both up and down. The dynamics of odds changes in this case is most often similar to the dynamics of changes in quotes for a handicap.

Please note! Bookmakers accept bets on both the total in regular time of the match and the total with overtime in basketball, and it is important to understand that when calculating these bets, different time periods of the game will be taken into account. The calculation of the total in basketball in regular time is based on the results of 4 quarters.

Basketball total betting strategy

Basketball total betting strategy seems simple at first glance. It is enough to look at the previous results of the teams and analyze how many points they score per game. However, not everything is so simple: anything can happen in one particular match, and several factors can affect the team's game at once: from the psychological state of the players to their physical condition.

Quarter basketball betting

This type of bet is very popular among those who like to bet on basketball. A quarter in basketball is a mini-match. The head coach uses different tactics, simulated combinations, there can be constant replacements of athletes on the court. Player fatigue accumulated over the previous quarters also affects the result. Often in betting lines you can see a bet not only on the outcome, handicap and total of each quarter, but also on a comparison of the performance of the quarters: more points scored, more fouls committed, etc.

Basketball betting strategy by quarters

Basketball by quarters strategy also has its own peculiarities. Here you need to have an idea how the team plays in the first half of the game, and how in the second, what are the features and differences in the team's actions in different quarters. In the case of betting on quarters, you should keep a closer eye on what happened on the court in the previous quarter.

Other offers. In addition to the standard set of positions, the vast majority of bookmakers include an additional painting in their line. An additional list can offer a variety of betting options: on the handicap and total of each quarter, on the individual totals of the teams, on the individual totals of the leading basketball players, on the presence or absence of overtime, etc. There is also a bet under the conditional name "even-odd". Basketball is a game that scores a lot of points. And the score at the end of the meeting or quarter will definitely be even or odd. Bookmakers also offer to bet on this. This type of bet, by the way, is the purest “guessing game” and does not require any knowledge of the game from the player.

Pre-match analytics

Pre-match analytics of basketball matches is somewhat simpler than debriefing in football matches, since the lineups in basketball teams are 2-3 times smaller, and teams play twice as often, so there is always plenty of information about opponents. Some difficulty is represented only by a small number of broadcasts of basketball competitions in the post-Soviet expanses. However, the availability of high-speed Internet fully compensates for this small drawback. So, what does basketball match analytics include?

• Opponents current kit . The specificity of basketball lies in the fact that there are traditionally much fewer game recessions than, for example, in tennis and football, and therefore it becomes much easier to track the current form. It also helps that each team plays 2-3 matches a week, which means that it is possible to get the latest information about their current level and fitness.

Don't forget to check the results of the last 5-6 matches of each team. Separately, pay attention to the statistics of home and away matches: basketball is a sport in which the home court factor is extremely important, and sometimes even decisive, so when analyzing statistics, evaluate home and away matches separately.

• Head-to-head history . Let's not forget about the history of rivalry confrontation. It often happens that the indicators of the last three or four face-to-face meetings of teams can tell you much more than dozens of live matches watched with their participation. Again, do not forget that in basketball, the statistics of home and away matches differ significantly, and therefore it is worth evaluating it differently.
• Tournament position and motivation. And, of course, we could not forget about such a key factor as motivation - in such a hard and strong-willed sport as basketball, motivation is of particular importance. Be sure to evaluate who needs what from the upcoming match and, based on this information, try to adjust your forecast so that you do not bet on a team that no longer needs anything against an over-motivated opponent.
• List of injured and disqualified. With basketball's busy schedule, it's no surprise that injuries and suspensions are common in the sport. In order to be sure that your bet is considered, you should definitely monitor the press regularly to keep abreast of any personnel changes in the composition of each team.

During major basketball tournaments on the Legalbet website, you can get acquainted with the expectations of the forecasters of our website, find out which basketball bets they recommend choosing, as well as get acquainted with their arguments in favor of one or another option.

• Basketball predictions at Legalbet

Where to bet on basketball?

Modern bookmakers try to offer players the widest possible line of basketball. Bets on matches of the NBA, VTB United League, Euroleague, as well as the World and European Championships can be made at absolutely any legal bookmaker in Russia.

The bookmaker's office "1xBet" offers the most complete list. On the site of this bookmaker, in the left menu, you can click on the sport, and this will open all the championships available for betting. After selecting a specific match, the entire list for the match will appear in the center of the screen. Also, BC "1xBet" offers a wide variety of live basketball bets, in which the bettor, using various strategies, can try his luck. A good painting for basketball is also offered on the official websites of the online bookmakers Paribet and Winline.

• View basketball bets on the 1xBet website
• View Basketball Betting on Winline
• View basketball bets on Paribet website

Read also:

• NBA betting
• Basketball World Cup Betting
• Euroleague betting
• Bets on VTB United League

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Material prepared:

Alexander Noskov

Legalbet Editor

Basketball Betting Strategies – Review, Rating 14 Strategies

Basketball

Strategy	Risk	Stability	Difficulty	Popularity	Joint with MM 1 Outcome 2 Pass 3 Totals 4 Win with handicap 5 Quarter and half 6 Players 9002 complexity and compatibility with money management strategies. Each has a detailed description and rationale for the rating. Betting strategy on the outcome Betting on the outcome of the Brooklyn Nets - Milwaukee Bucks match. As in any sports discipline, bets on the outcome are very popular. In basketball, bettors most often resort to this market, since the chance of a draw is extremely low, so the odds for the clubs to win, including the victory of the favorites, are presented at a fairly high level (1, eng.). The outcome betting strategy is the main basketball strategy, as it often attracts even beginner bettors. The market is available for conclusion both in Pre-match mode and LIVE, so bookmaker users often make bets right at the moment of the match. Risk Risks in betting on the outcome can be assessed as “minimal”, because unpredictable results in basketball happen much less often than in other popular sports disciplines. Basketball matches are the most productive, so often a strong gap in the score is created between the favorite and the underdog. It is necessary to talk about risks only at the time of betting on equivalent clubs, but the strategy clearly regulates the rules for selecting a match and allows you to skip risky events. Stability Outcome bets have always been very stable in basketball. If Philadelphia plays well, then it really plays well, and the conditional Cleveland BC will not be able to oppose it. Sometimes bookmakers deliberately overestimate the odds for the favorite in order to unload the line, so the level of quotes in basketball is not always the determining factor. Stability can be seen in the statistics: for example, in the same NBA, the same clubs become the favorites of each Confederation every year. Complexity Even beginners will not encounter any particular difficulties in analyzing statistics, since all the necessary information is presented on numerous specialized resources. Bettors will only need to evaluate the performance of the basketball clubs participating in the confrontation and familiarize themselves with the history of face-to-face meetings. Often, even bookmakers provide such information in order to simplify the task for their customers. Popularity Outcome betting strategy among basketball game tactics can only be compared with the "Total" or "Handicap Betting" method. Outcome is the most basic market and is always available for betting, regardless of the game mode. Bookmakers always list the outcome in the main draw so that bettors can bet on this market without having to familiarize themselves with the full range of available markets. Outcome bets in basketball are equally popular among both beginners and professional cappers. Compatible with MM High odds for a draw in basketball on the example of the Los Angeles Clippers - Dallas Mavericks match. The strategy perfectly adapts to any form of bank management, with the exception of methods that involve betting at high odds. Usually bettors play catch-up or flat, but Miller, Kelly, Fibonacci strategies can also be used. The overall evaluation of the strategy is 10 points. Why are not all matches suitable for the total betting strategy? Why is the exit strategy one of the most popular strategies in basketball? What is the safest way to bet on an outcome? What is the best way to play by outcome strategy: in LIVE or in Prematch mode? Goal betting strategy Long-term line of bets on reaching the playoffs of NBA Western Confederation clubs. In this case, bettors will have to determine the winner not of a separate match, but of the championship favorite, which is much more difficult (2, eng.). This strategy cannot be called popular, as players often treat long-term markets with apprehension. Moreover, bets on the "pass" are not presented in every bookmaker's office, and even if the company accepts a bet on the winner of the tournament, then usually it is only about the NBA, while European national championships are simply ignored by bookmakers. Risks The strategy has an extremely high level of risks, since it is very difficult to predict the winner of the entire season. It would be much easier to determine the favorite of the Division or the Confederation, but the bookmakers preferred to abandon such a market. The "pass" of each team is influenced by too many factors that simply cannot be taken into account, and not all information is publicly available. Stability Pass betting usually has very little stability, but basketball compares favorably with other sports in this respect. If we talk about the top Major Leagues, for example, the NBA, for several years in a row, the same clubs have been in the top five favorites. But this does not give any guarantees to the bettor. Golden State has made the playoffs five times over the past ten seasons, but the team has only managed to become a champion three times. Complexity The analysis of statistics in this case does not affect the passability of the bet. The pass betting strategy in basketball is based on the peculiarities of bank management, while bets are made only after a superficial assessment of recent championship seasons. The difficulty is that in order to increase the level of passability of the bet, the bettor needs to find information about each club, about the latest transfers, about changes in the coaching staff, etc. Popularity Since bookmakers rarely offer this market for betting, bettors are often unaware of the existence of this type of bet. But even in the specialized or largest bookmakers, where long-term bets are presented in separate lines, the pass market is not in great demand. Beginners are repelled by such bets with a low level of patency, while experienced bettors see an increased and uneven betting margin, which only complicates the game for the “long-term”. Compatibility with bank management Distribution of quotations for the favorites of the last NBA season. Even for the victory of the most likely winner of the Brooklyn BC tournament, the bookmaker offers a high odds. The strategy is not compatible with any of the popular gaming strategies, as it involves the use of a unique bank management technique. The bettor needs to individually calculate the size of each bet, find several bookmakers with the highest quotes for a number of tournament favorites, and, depending on the odds, already determine the size of each bet. The total amount of all bets must not exceed the value of the potential profit at the minimum coefficient. Overall evaluation of the strategy - 1 point. Total betting strategy Total betting in the Portland-Denver basketball game. Since basketball is recognized as the most productive sports discipline, betting on totals in basketball matches is of particular importance. Bettors are invited to determine several indicators: how many points will be scored by both teams within the match, how many will be scored by each specific club, and what will be the total within a certain period of time (3, eng.). The classic strategy involves betting on the main market - the total total of the confrontation. Risks The strategy does not imply high risks. According to statistics, even bets on the spread point - the average value of the total - pass with a probability of 55-60%. If we talk about lower values, the permeability can be even higher. The strategy provides clear rules for the selection of matches, which has a positive effect on the overall profitability at a distance. Stability Stability can always be seen in statistics. There are objectively productive clubs, there are less productive ones. It is enough to estimate the average value of IT (individual total) of the team in the current season. This information is often provided by the bookmakers themselves and is always publicly available. Accidents in betting on totals rarely occur, mainly in confrontations between top equal teams. Difficulty The only difficulty lies in the fact that in the Prematch mode, bookmakers carefully set the total values ​​for bets, and it is not always possible to find the right position in the list. Also, some bookmakers deliberately ignore the spread point in order to complicate the game conditions for clients. But due to the large assortment of bookmakers with unique lines, these difficulties can be easily bypassed. Popularity In terms of popularity, bets on totals are inferior only to bets on the "outcome". Often these two markets are even used in conjunction to increase the bet odds. The total is fairly easy to predict, statistics for this market are presented on almost every thematic site, so performance bets are in demand even among beginner bettors. Compatibility with money management Variability of bets on totals on the example of the basketball game "Milwaukee - Brooklyn". You can play for the total by absolutely any method. If you bet on the spread point, you can even use extremely aggressive forms of bank management, since the odds allow you to use both the Martingale and d'Alembert's tactics. Experienced players prefer to form corridors on the totals, which reduces the possible risks to a minimum. The overall score of the strategy is 9. What is the safest strategy for totals? Why is total strategy so popular in basketball? What types of bets on totals can be used in basketball? What are the best bookmakers to bet on basketball totals? Betting strategy to win with a handicap Gaming markets for basketball handicap in the Atlanta Hawks - New York Knicks match. Handicap bets are bets on the outcome, but with a certain advantage that the bettor provides to one of the clubs even before the start of the match. A positive handicap significantly minimizes the risks, but the player will have to sacrifice the level of odds, and hence the size of the potential profit (4, eng.). If we talk about negative handicaps, the risks will only increase, but the level of quotes will be even higher than for the usual outcome. Each type of handicap has an individual game strategy that determines the order in which matches are selected for betting, which allows you to achieve acceptable cross-country ability. Risks If you play according to strategies and strictly follow their conditions, the risks remain minimal. A positive handicap with a high value practically guarantees a successful bet pass, the only risk is that even one loss can cause significant damage to the bank. A negative handicap has a more favorable ratio of risks and quotes presented by bookmakers. Stability It is difficult to imagine more stable rates than betting with a handicap. Handicaps give bettors a kind of insurance to make betting on an outcome even safer. Negative odds also remain quite stable, because it is not necessary to expect that in the confrontation between a strong favorite and a weak outsider, the score will differ by only a few units. Difficulty All the data necessary for playing according to the strategy can be clearly seen in the club statistics. The bettor will only need to evaluate the last few confrontations of each team, paying special attention to face-to-face meetings. The handicap betting strategy has clear conditions for the selection of matches, but they are not complicated and will be clear even to beginners. Popularity Handicap bets are extremely popular in any sports discipline and basketball is no exception. Beginners are attracted by the increased cross-country ability, which the strategy provides at a distance, and professional bettors by high odds for reverse odds. This market allows you to significantly increase quotes with a slight increase in the level of risks. Compatibility with MM Variety of bets on handicaps in the UNICS - CSKA M match: handicap based on total time, handicap including overtime, half handicap and quarter handicap. Handicap bets can be applied with different financial methods. But it should be borne in mind that betting on a positive handicap does not imply the possibility of playing with aggressive tactics. The reverse handicap is more multifunctional, it is possible to play here with a catch-up, a tank attack, and d'Alembert. Overall evaluation of the strategy - 10 points. Betting strategies for quarters and halves Betting on the first quarter of the Miami-Milwaukee basketball game at Bettery bookmaker. In this case, the bettor will need to determine not the overall outcome of the match, but the result for a certain period of time. Basketball meetings are held in four quarters, 10 minutes each (in some cases, 12 minutes: NBA, Philippine basketball). The first two quarters are called half. It should be borne in mind that in the intervals of time the results may differ significantly from the final results of the match. But in the case of basketball confrontations, this is not as critical as in football or hockey. Risks Strategies have increased risks, since it is always more difficult to determine the outcome of a particular period of time. Even the usual unsuccessful series of attacks by the favorite can affect the passage of the bet, despite the fact that the favorite still ends the meeting in his favor. According to statistics, only one of the quarters goes to an outsider, so the risks can be called "moderate". Stability With the right selection of matches and analysis of statistics, you can achieve a pass rate of 70%. At the same time, the level of odds by a quarter or a half often differs from what the bookmaker offers in classic bets on the outcome - quotes become significantly higher. This allows you to compensate for the increased risk of losing and achieve performance at a distance no worse than in the case of betting on the classic outcome. Difficulty The analysis of statistics is carried out in the same way as in the strategies for the normal outcome. The only difference is that the bettor will have to determine the most productive moment of the game in the last matches of each club, especially the favorite. This allows you to determine at what point in the match the team has the most active game. Popularity Beginners often prefer outcome bets, as this market entails less risk and does not require such a detailed analysis of statistics. Betting strategies for periods of time are used mainly by experienced bettors, since for them this is one of the opportunities to increase the level of odds. Compatible with money management Painting for the NBA match “Philadelphia – Atlanta”. Pay attention to the variability of bets on quarters: totals, handicaps, double outcome, parity of totals and IT. Any form of bank management is combined with betting on quarter and half selections. For fans of aggressive game models, quarter bets have become one of the most sought-after markets in basketball mural. A classic flat or a fixed profit will turn out to be no less profitable, since the patency of rates, subject to the fulfillment of the requirements of the strategy, will exceed 50%. Overall assessment of strategies – 6 points each. What is the main advantage of betting on basketball quarters? Which markets are most commonly used in basketball quarter strategy? Why do many strategies not fit all basketball tournaments? In which game mode is it best to use strategy? Betting strategy for players Bets on players in the match “Portland – Denver” in the Fonbet bookmaker line. Betting on players is one of the most dangerous and unpredictable strategies in basketball. First, it’s worth saying right away that the strategy is not popular with players. Secondly, bookmakers are also in no hurry to provide separate lines with such markets, and only occasionally accept bets on the performance of NBA basketball players, European Leagues are ignored in 99% of cases (5, eng. ). In this case, there is no need for high cross-country ability, since it is almost impossible to determine the nature of the game of a particular athlete in team disciplines. Risks The strategy has an incommensurable level of risks, which is absolutely not regulated by coefficients. Additional difficulties are created by the rules for calculating individual bets provided by bookmakers. If a basketball player touches the ball at least once during the match, the market becomes active. And if after just a couple of minutes he went to the bench, the chances of losing increase even more. Consistency Basketball players do not tend to show a stable game, like any other athletes. There are too many factors that affect the nature of the game, ranging from general well-being to difficulties in personal life. It is impossible to predict such moments, so bets on the performance of players can be called for the most part "entertaining". Difficulty Complete and detailed statistics that would allow at least a relatively professional approach to predicting the behavior of a basketball player in the upcoming match simply do not exist. 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