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How to make good trades in fantasy basketball
The Ultimate Guide to Making Succesful Fantasy Basketball Trades
Written by Joshua Duraisami on 12 February 2021
Written by Joshua Duraisami on 12 February 2021
The biggest problem I've found with managing a successful fantasy basketball team isn't with analysis of the numbers or projections of future play, but in how people evaluate and select trades.
The biggest problem I've found with managing a successful fantasy basketball team isn't with analysis of the numbers or projections of future play, but in how people evaluate and select trades.
I've played fantasy basketball for about a decade now, both in private, public, free and paid leagues. I've used several sources, from free rankings to paid insider information, and from podcasts to personal contact with experts.
And yet, the biggest problem I've found with managing a successful fantasy basketball team isn't with analysis of the numbers or projections of future play, but in how people evaluate and select trades.
On a base level, trading seems simple - try to swap players to improve your team. But the critical thinking and behavior that leads to successful trades go much deeper than this.
This article seeks to create a comprehensive guide to helping better your trade negotiations by offering proven principles for negotiations and trades.
Qualities of a Successful Trade
Is it wise?
First of all, a trade needs to be a wise choice. This is the part that the majority of people do consider. Does this trade make my team better? If so, it's likely the wise decision for my team.
Does it improve the relationship?
This is an often overlooked part of trades.
If you are in any year-by-year league, you mustn't create bad trade relationships with people. This means that win-lose trades in your favor are not always good in the long run. It may help you in the short-term, but it could also ice you out from trades with the player in the future.
Manipulating a fellow manager into believing something false (say, spending 20 minutes trying to convince someone that Kelly Oubre Jr will be a bottom 200 player all season), then boasting about the trade when he starts playing much better is incredibly damaging to your prospective future trades.
Contrary to this, leaving the other manager happy post-trade opens up a level of trust and comfort that can lead to future trades - both in the current season and in seasons to come.
An enormously important part of trade negotiations is your relationship with that manager, the trust level between you two, and your reputation overall. Trust me on this: Gaining a reputation as someone who always wins a trade is cool, but it obliterates your ability to make trades in the future.
We'll get more into why win-win trades are the best scenario later on in the article.
Offering Trades
Stop low-balling
Let's be honest: we've all sent a low ball offer before. Or, maybe two or three.
It's tempting to throw out offers where you're the clear winner and hope that someone accepts, and low balling someone in hopes that they bite can occasionally get you a great trade.
However, in an experienced league, it's not a conducive way to get trade negotiations going, and more often than not, it is directly harmful to your ultimate goal.
If there's a player you want, send them a decent offer that they can counter. You don't have to send outright exactly the trade you want, but you absolutely shouldn't send them an offer that they're going to reject immediately. Not only does this not create an open line of negotiations, but it also annoys opposing managers, who will be more likely to look at future trade offers you send their way unfavorably.
This is called the anchoring effect - your first trade offer sets the tone of the entire negotiations and future proposed offers. If you send them something they're quick to reject, they're more likely to reject trade offers in the future quickly. Send them something interesting, and they're more likely to find future trade offers interesting too.
Don't swing too far the other way
While sending a trade that the other manager accepts quickly is mostly good, minimal negotiations can mean that there was wiggle room that you lost out on. Though low balling will have a negative effect overall, working out a perfect offer isn't always the best move either.
The key is to find the sweet spot between low balling the opposing manager and sending a trade that immediately hits your WTP (willingness to pay).
Send an intriguing offer that opens up negotiations, and from there, you can increase the value of your trade until you hit the max you'd be willing to offer.
Prepare for the negotiations and analyze the results ahead of time
Leading from the last point, you need to have your WTP figured out before sending your trade offers. Figuring out the best offer you can make is crucial to successful trade negotiation.
You can do this by running the numbers - either by yourself or with an online tool like our fantasy basketball trade analyzer) or trade machine) - and checking how much each team improves and how much you improve compared to the rest of the league.
Once you've figured out your WTP, offer something a bit lower than that. The space between your initial offer and your best offer is where most of the negotiations happen, and the more you raise your offer, the more the other manager sees the trade in their favor.
For example, my best offer might be Rudy Gobert and Gordon Hayward for Zach LaVine and a filler player, but I might start the negotiations with Zion Williamson and Michael Porter Jr instead. Once trade negotiations open up, every piece I add to the offer makes it harder for the opposing manager to resist, making the trade more likely to happen.
Not only does this strategy make it that you can sometimes get the trade you want for less than your WTP, but it also makes it more likely that the manager will accept your WTP if it does come down to it. Otherwise, if you send your WTP in the initial offer, the opposing manager is likely to counter using that as a starting point, and you're outbidding yourself from the beginning.
Look at what the other manager needs
This is the essential part of sending a serious trade offer to someone. A real trade offer takes time to think about.
If you want a player, don't just offer someone you're willing to let go of for that player. Go to the other manager's team, evaluate their strengths and weaknesses, and offer them something they want.
Better yet, open up a line of communication and ask them what or who they want, and then try to work with it. In my experience, this is the absolute best way to create willing trade partners. If you're in a league that doesn't trade much, this is the best way to get the ball rolling. For example, you want Christian Wood, so you send an offer with Fred VanVleet as the centerpiece. Is it a bad trade offer in terms of value?
Probably not. However, if you look at their team and see that they also have Giannis, you might realize that they're punting FT% while focussing on FG%, making Fred VanVleet a terrible fit for him. Maybe they're lacking blocks or points, in which case an offer involving Rudy Gobert, Deandre Ayton, or Zion Williamson as the centerpiece instead would be much more intriguing to them.
This creates a scenario where both teams can improve by getting guys that fit their team needs better, with streamlined negotiations and less frustration overall. Analyzing your opponent's team and finding what they want out of a trade leads me to the final point on offering trades, which is...
Win-Win trades are the best scenario
Offer win-win trades. Stop trying to renegotiate so that you become the clear winner. Let the other team get better too.
No one likes to be on the butt end of a win-lose scenario, and experienced managers will be on the lookout for this. Trying to create win-lose scenarios ice out the negotiations and prevents trades from happening altogether - which means your team doesn't improve.
Don't be lazy; look for trades that make both teams better and then work towards making it happen. Even if the other team wins more than you do - it usually doesn't matter, as long as you get better.
Of course, the exception to this rule is if the trade makes the opposing team better than you. You don't want to make a trade with a person only for them to spank you in the finals.
However, if you make a trade with someone that gets them from the last place into the playoffs, while you just move from the third-best team to the second-best team, that is a major win (and this example is something that really did happen to me during a championship fantasy season of mine in 2018).
Evaluating Trades
Be aware of the Endowment Effect
The Endowment Effect is a psychological bias we have towards things we own. Basically, when we own something, we overvalue it based on our ownership. Your WTP (willingness to pay) for a player is generally going to be lower than your WTA (willingness to accept). While you would be willing to trade Butler for Turner, you likely wouldn't be willing to accept Turner for Butler. It's a behavioral phenomenon that we all fall into, whether we know it or not.
If you're about to reject a trade offer, always take time and consider whether you would be willing to make the trade in reverse. Evaluate the offered player(s) in their entirety: Are they just starting slow? Are they in a slump? Are they going to break out halfway through the season? What are the chances of that happening?
Analyze the offered players the same way you've already done for the players you have on your roster.
In fact, it can often be beneficial to leave a trade you're going to reject sitting there for 24 hours and come back the next day to re-evaluate. On the other hand, look at how you're overvaluing your own roster: What's their real potential? What are the chances they outplay their ADP? Are there reasons to hold onto them?
Always Negotiate
No matter what, always open up negotiations.
Even if you've received a trade offer you like, or someone agrees to an offer quickly, work with the other manager to explore other options. Make sure that the trade that's going to get accepted is the best option for both parties. Occasionally, you can find something that both managers like better. Quick negotiations aren't always the best. Only when you feel comfortable that you've spent time and done your due diligence should you pull the trigger.
Value vs Team Improvement
Here's something you'll rarely hear: you're probably too concerned with the objective value of the players you have.
What I mean by this is that you're probably so concerned with "losing" trades, that you often reject trades that would make your team better because you're concerned about the value you're getting in return.
Early on in the season, this is usually okay, but once you get about halfway through, you can all but throw value out the window.
The only thing that matters come playoffs is whether or not your team is more likely to win post-trade than pre-trade, not the numerical rankings of your players. Focus on improving your team and getting more wins. It is perfectly okay to make a 1-for-1 trade for a player that is 20 ranks lower than the player you're giving up. If your team improves, then it's usually a good trade.
The only thing you need to consider is...
BATNA
This is the most important part of evaluating a trade: What is your Best Alternative To the Negotiated Agreement?
BATNA is why I say to stop worrying about the objective value of your players.
For example, if you decline a trade that improves your team because you weren't receiving equal value, but you end up not making a trade at all or trading for a better player that improves your team less than the declined trade, then you made a bad decision.
If you get offered a trade that doesn't give you equal value, but it makes your team significantly better because the fits of the players you're receiving make the categories you're focussing on much stronger, then you probably should take the trade.
Don't worry about who's winning or losing based on objective value. The truth is that they might be getting the better player, and that's okay because you might be improving your team more.
The Negotiation Room
Communicate Directly
Talking directly to people (through phone, text, fantasy message, etc.) will lead to more productive negotiations than just sending offers.
It's easy for managers to press a red button when they see a trade offer, but it's much harder for them to ignore your actual voice or messages. People are naturally inclined to personal communication, and sometimes that can be the difference between a quick rejection and a solid trade.
Don't get frustrated
Frustration from a lack of progress can lead to you becoming less motivated.
While personal communication does help, it also makes rejection much more difficult. Though it's true that personal communication can be the difference between a quick rejection and a solid trade, it can also be the difference between a quick rejection and a frustrating, drawn-out rejection.
Keep your head about you and power on to the next negotiation. Understand that everyone wants to get better, trades are important for both sides, and fairness is often relative. If you need to, take a breather, figure out what went wrong with the negotiations, and how you can improve - then go back in for round 2 or move on to the next one.
Manage your expectations
Make sure that your end goal in a trade is realistic.
Don't expect a trade to take you from the last place to first place, and don't expect to improve in every category. You have to lose some stats to improve the ones you want.
An aspect of the Endowment Effect is overvaluing your losses, so try to look objectively and weigh what you're gaining and losing equally rather than putting more weight into the stats you're losing. This doesn't necessarily mean that you have to strictly be a realist, as there's a benefit to being optimistic, but setting high expectations will lead to a breakdown in negotiations and disappointment.
Make yourself likable
It is significantly easier to negotiate with people who like you.
Work on becoming people's friends, complimenting their players/team, point out their strong weeks, etc. to build trust with them. Kindness can go a long way. A simple way to do this is to be active in any group chats that your league has. Talk about the actual games. Let people become more familiar and comfortable with talking to you, and they're more likely to feel more familiar and comfortable with trusting you.
Ground your rationale
Use objective measures to build a foundation for your negotiations.
Fairness is subjective, but numbers aren't. Demonstrate why your trade helps the other manager. This means showing any numbers you've run, share trades using our trade analyzer, and explaining exactly how their team improves and why you think this helps them.
Don't just say, "dude, Ben Simmons is amazing, why wouldn't you want him?". Instead, take the initiative by proving the worth of your players and convincing the other manager of the trade's rationality for them.
This works especially well for stat categories that can be overlooked or undervalued, such as blocks or steals. If the trade takes them from 8th place to 3rd place in blocks, show them that (which you can do using our free league tools). It will go much further in convincing them than just promising them that the trade is right for them.
Conclusion
Use these tips to help you with future trades, both in sending out offers, evaluating the ones you receive, and using negotiations to work towards conclusions.
Trades are one of the most significant aspects of managing a successful fantasy basketball team, and probably the most fun part of fantasy sports. Use it to your advantage.
I've played fantasy basketball for about a decade now, both in private, public, free and paid leagues. I've used several sources, from free rankings to paid insider information, and from podcasts to personal contact with experts.
And yet, the biggest problem I've found with managing a successful fantasy basketball team isn't with analysis of the numbers or projections of future play, but in how people evaluate and select trades.
On a base level, trading seems simple - try to swap players to improve your team. But the critical thinking and behavior that leads to successful trades go much deeper than this.
This article seeks to create a comprehensive guide to helping better your trade negotiations by offering proven principles for negotiations and trades.
Qualities of a Successful Trade
Is it wise?
First of all, a trade needs to be a wise choice. This is the part that the majority of people do consider. Does this trade make my team better? If so, it's likely the wise decision for my team.
Does it improve the relationship?
This is an often overlooked part of trades.
If you are in any year-by-year league, you mustn't create bad trade relationships with people. This means that win-lose trades in your favor are not always good in the long run. It may help you in the short-term, but it could also ice you out from trades with the player in the future.
Manipulating a fellow manager into believing something false (say, spending 20 minutes trying to convince someone that Kelly Oubre Jr will be a bottom 200 player all season), then boasting about the trade when he starts playing much better is incredibly damaging to your prospective future trades.
Contrary to this, leaving the other manager happy post-trade opens up a level of trust and comfort that can lead to future trades - both in the current season and in seasons to come.
An enormously important part of trade negotiations is your relationship with that manager, the trust level between you two, and your reputation overall. Trust me on this: Gaining a reputation as someone who always wins a trade is cool, but it obliterates your ability to make trades in the future.
We'll get more into why win-win trades are the best scenario later on in the article.
Offering Trades
Stop low-balling
Let's be honest: we've all sent a low ball offer before. Or, maybe two or three.
It's tempting to throw out offers where you're the clear winner and hope that someone accepts, and low balling someone in hopes that they bite can occasionally get you a great trade.
However, in an experienced league, it's not a conducive way to get trade negotiations going, and more often than not, it is directly harmful to your ultimate goal.
If there's a player you want, send them a decent offer that they can counter. You don't have to send outright exactly the trade you want, but you absolutely shouldn't send them an offer that they're going to reject immediately. Not only does this not create an open line of negotiations, but it also annoys opposing managers, who will be more likely to look at future trade offers you send their way unfavorably.
This is called the anchoring effect - your first trade offer sets the tone of the entire negotiations and future proposed offers. If you send them something they're quick to reject, they're more likely to reject trade offers in the future quickly. Send them something interesting, and they're more likely to find future trade offers interesting too.
Don't swing too far the other way
While sending a trade that the other manager accepts quickly is mostly good, minimal negotiations can mean that there was wiggle room that you lost out on. Though low balling will have a negative effect overall, working out a perfect offer isn't always the best move either.
The key is to find the sweet spot between low balling the opposing manager and sending a trade that immediately hits your WTP (willingness to pay).
Send an intriguing offer that opens up negotiations, and from there, you can increase the value of your trade until you hit the max you'd be willing to offer.
Prepare for the negotiations and analyze the results ahead of time
Leading from the last point, you need to have your WTP figured out before sending your trade offers. Figuring out the best offer you can make is crucial to successful trade negotiation.
You can do this by running the numbers - either by yourself or with an online tool like our fantasy basketball trade analyzer) or trade machine) - and checking how much each team improves and how much you improve compared to the rest of the league.
Once you've figured out your WTP, offer something a bit lower than that. The space between your initial offer and your best offer is where most of the negotiations happen, and the more you raise your offer, the more the other manager sees the trade in their favor.
For example, my best offer might be Rudy Gobert and Gordon Hayward for Zach LaVine and a filler player, but I might start the negotiations with Zion Williamson and Michael Porter Jr instead. Once trade negotiations open up, every piece I add to the offer makes it harder for the opposing manager to resist, making the trade more likely to happen.
Not only does this strategy make it that you can sometimes get the trade you want for less than your WTP, but it also makes it more likely that the manager will accept your WTP if it does come down to it. Otherwise, if you send your WTP in the initial offer, the opposing manager is likely to counter using that as a starting point, and you're outbidding yourself from the beginning.
Look at what the other manager needs
This is the essential part of sending a serious trade offer to someone. A real trade offer takes time to think about.
If you want a player, don't just offer someone you're willing to let go of for that player. Go to the other manager's team, evaluate their strengths and weaknesses, and offer them something they want.
Better yet, open up a line of communication and ask them what or who they want, and then try to work with it. In my experience, this is the absolute best way to create willing trade partners. If you're in a league that doesn't trade much, this is the best way to get the ball rolling. For example, you want Christian Wood, so you send an offer with Fred VanVleet as the centerpiece. Is it a bad trade offer in terms of value?
Probably not. However, if you look at their team and see that they also have Giannis, you might realize that they're punting FT% while focussing on FG%, making Fred VanVleet a terrible fit for him. Maybe they're lacking blocks or points, in which case an offer involving Rudy Gobert, Deandre Ayton, or Zion Williamson as the centerpiece instead would be much more intriguing to them.
This creates a scenario where both teams can improve by getting guys that fit their team needs better, with streamlined negotiations and less frustration overall. Analyzing your opponent's team and finding what they want out of a trade leads me to the final point on offering trades, which is...
Win-Win trades are the best scenario
Offer win-win trades. Stop trying to renegotiate so that you become the clear winner. Let the other team get better too.
No one likes to be on the butt end of a win-lose scenario, and experienced managers will be on the lookout for this. Trying to create win-lose scenarios ice out the negotiations and prevents trades from happening altogether - which means your team doesn't improve.
Don't be lazy; look for trades that make both teams better and then work towards making it happen. Even if the other team wins more than you do - it usually doesn't matter, as long as you get better.
Of course, the exception to this rule is if the trade makes the opposing team better than you. You don't want to make a trade with a person only for them to spank you in the finals.
However, if you make a trade with someone that gets them from the last place into the playoffs, while you just move from the third-best team to the second-best team, that is a major win (and this example is something that really did happen to me during a championship fantasy season of mine in 2018).
Evaluating Trades
Be aware of the Endowment Effect
The Endowment Effect is a psychological bias we have towards things we own. Basically, when we own something, we overvalue it based on our ownership. Your WTP (willingness to pay) for a player is generally going to be lower than your WTA (willingness to accept). While you would be willing to trade Butler for Turner, you likely wouldn't be willing to accept Turner for Butler. It's a behavioral phenomenon that we all fall into, whether we know it or not.
If you're about to reject a trade offer, always take time and consider whether you would be willing to make the trade in reverse. Evaluate the offered player(s) in their entirety: Are they just starting slow? Are they in a slump? Are they going to break out halfway through the season? What are the chances of that happening?
Analyze the offered players the same way you've already done for the players you have on your roster.
In fact, it can often be beneficial to leave a trade you're going to reject sitting there for 24 hours and come back the next day to re-evaluate. On the other hand, look at how you're overvaluing your own roster: What's their real potential? What are the chances they outplay their ADP? Are there reasons to hold onto them?
Always Negotiate
No matter what, always open up negotiations.
Even if you've received a trade offer you like, or someone agrees to an offer quickly, work with the other manager to explore other options. Make sure that the trade that's going to get accepted is the best option for both parties. Occasionally, you can find something that both managers like better. Quick negotiations aren't always the best. Only when you feel comfortable that you've spent time and done your due diligence should you pull the trigger.
Value vs Team Improvement
Here's something you'll rarely hear: you're probably too concerned with the objective value of the players you have.
What I mean by this is that you're probably so concerned with "losing" trades, that you often reject trades that would make your team better because you're concerned about the value you're getting in return.
Early on in the season, this is usually okay, but once you get about halfway through, you can all but throw value out the window.
The only thing that matters come playoffs is whether or not your team is more likely to win post-trade than pre-trade, not the numerical rankings of your players. Focus on improving your team and getting more wins. It is perfectly okay to make a 1-for-1 trade for a player that is 20 ranks lower than the player you're giving up. If your team improves, then it's usually a good trade.
The only thing you need to consider is...
BATNA
This is the most important part of evaluating a trade: What is your Best Alternative To the Negotiated Agreement?
BATNA is why I say to stop worrying about the objective value of your players.
For example, if you decline a trade that improves your team because you weren't receiving equal value, but you end up not making a trade at all or trading for a better player that improves your team less than the declined trade, then you made a bad decision.
If you get offered a trade that doesn't give you equal value, but it makes your team significantly better because the fits of the players you're receiving make the categories you're focussing on much stronger, then you probably should take the trade.
Don't worry about who's winning or losing based on objective value. The truth is that they might be getting the better player, and that's okay because you might be improving your team more.
The Negotiation Room
Communicate Directly
Talking directly to people (through phone, text, fantasy message, etc.) will lead to more productive negotiations than just sending offers.
It's easy for managers to press a red button when they see a trade offer, but it's much harder for them to ignore your actual voice or messages. People are naturally inclined to personal communication, and sometimes that can be the difference between a quick rejection and a solid trade.
Don't get frustrated
Frustration from a lack of progress can lead to you becoming less motivated.
While personal communication does help, it also makes rejection much more difficult. Though it's true that personal communication can be the difference between a quick rejection and a solid trade, it can also be the difference between a quick rejection and a frustrating, drawn-out rejection.
Keep your head about you and power on to the next negotiation. Understand that everyone wants to get better, trades are important for both sides, and fairness is often relative. If you need to, take a breather, figure out what went wrong with the negotiations, and how you can improve - then go back in for round 2 or move on to the next one.
Manage your expectations
Make sure that your end goal in a trade is realistic.
Don't expect a trade to take you from the last place to first place, and don't expect to improve in every category. You have to lose some stats to improve the ones you want.
An aspect of the Endowment Effect is overvaluing your losses, so try to look objectively and weigh what you're gaining and losing equally rather than putting more weight into the stats you're losing. This doesn't necessarily mean that you have to strictly be a realist, as there's a benefit to being optimistic, but setting high expectations will lead to a breakdown in negotiations and disappointment.
Make yourself likable
It is significantly easier to negotiate with people who like you.
Work on becoming people's friends, complimenting their players/team, point out their strong weeks, etc. to build trust with them. Kindness can go a long way. A simple way to do this is to be active in any group chats that your league has. Talk about the actual games. Let people become more familiar and comfortable with talking to you, and they're more likely to feel more familiar and comfortable with trusting you.
Ground your rationale
Use objective measures to build a foundation for your negotiations.
Fairness is subjective, but numbers aren't. Demonstrate why your trade helps the other manager. This means showing any numbers you've run, share trades using our trade analyzer, and explaining exactly how their team improves and why you think this helps them.
Don't just say, "dude, Ben Simmons is amazing, why wouldn't you want him?". Instead, take the initiative by proving the worth of your players and convincing the other manager of the trade's rationality for them.
This works especially well for stat categories that can be overlooked or undervalued, such as blocks or steals. If the trade takes them from 8th place to 3rd place in blocks, show them that (which you can do using our free league tools). It will go much further in convincing them than just promising them that the trade is right for them.
Conclusion
Use these tips to help you with future trades, both in sending out offers, evaluating the ones you receive, and using negotiations to work towards conclusions.
Trades are one of the most significant aspects of managing a successful fantasy basketball team, and probably the most fun part of fantasy sports. Use it to your advantage.
Win Your Fantasy League: 10 Tips For Making Better Trades | News, Scores, Highlights, Stats, and Rumors
One of the best parts of fantasy baseball is trading. There is just something so satisfying about working out a deal that is both exciting and sometimes nerve wrecking.
But don’t be fooled, trading in fantasy baseball is not a crap shoot—it’s an art, and if you can become a good trader you're going to stand a lot better chance of finding your name at the top of the standings.
Here are ten tips to become a better fantasy baseball trader.
1. Patience Pays Off
Don’t get frustrated when the first deal you offer someone doesn’t go through, and don’t always assume you have to accept the first deal you’re offered just because your team needs help.
Sometimes it takes a lot of work to make a deal happen and that’s not a bad thing. I’ve spent a week or two going back and forth with people trying to work out just the right deal—your goal is to not settle and get the most out of a deal as possible.
If you are working with someone who is cooperative then feel free to take your time. When you get offered a deal let the other person know why you’re not accepting and who you like and don’t like in the deal and then make a counter offer. Chances are if they don’t like your counter they’ll at least have the courtesy to do the same as you and the more information on the table the easier it’ll be to work something out.
Just like in the big leagues, it doesn’t always happen right away. In fact, in my experience, I rarely have my first offer accepted or accept someone else’s for that matter.
Shop Around
If you’re going to trade a big name player, don’t make it exclusive to one team.
I am in a 16-team league where my hitting is stacked and my pitching is mediocre. I tried trading Carl Crawford, A-Rod, and Mark Teixeira and wasn’t getting good value back. I had Hanley, but didn’t want to trade him.
I got an intriguing offer and realized I might have to move Hanley. Instead of taking that offer without any other considerations I sent out a league wide e-mail letting everyone know that I was willing to move Hanley and what I wanted to get in return (which brought out more offers).
Ultimately, the original guy came through with the best offer, but it was better than the first offer because he knew I was getting other offers and I was letting him know.
It's All About Value
It’s not about how you value someone but how the guy who has him does.
Just because you think Jayson Werth is a Top 10 outfielder doesn’t mean the guy who has him thinks so. We often pay what we think a guy is worth when the other guy may think he’s worth far less.
This goes with a tip that’ll come later, but feel the owner out on a guy and figure out what he thinks of the player you want and than offer the trade. You never, ever, want to give up more than what you have to.
Last year I wanted Cliff Lee and I sent a guy an e-mail asking what he’d want. He offered me Lee for Stephen Drew which I accepted in a heartbeat. I would have never thought to offer that, but he overvalued Drew and undervalued Lee and I came out the winner.
Start Low
Don’t start negotiations with your best offer. Start low and let the other guy counter to something more realistic, cause every once in a while your low ball offer will get accepted.
Everyone assumes that the first offer isn’t the best offer so chances are they're going to decline and counter for something better. Start low and then when you get to what you’re actually willing to give, the other guy will think he’s getting a good deal.
Just don’t go so low with your offers that no one wants to deal with you. Hardcore fantasy baseball players don’t want their intelligence insulted with horrid offers.
Choose Your Trading Partner Wisely
One of the keys to trading is finding just the right partner. There are two things you want to look for when choosing someone to trade with.
The first of them is their position in the standings. You’re going to have a lot more luck trading with someone who is struggling than the guy at the top of the league who is terrified of tweaking a team that is excelling. Take advantage of the guy who can’t get out of last place, he is much more likely to do something drastic to shake things up.
The second thing to do is find a team who needs what you have and are willing to give. If your trying to trade Adrian Beltre don’t shop him to the team who has Ryan Zimmerman, find the guy who has a platoon of Brandon Inge and Andy Laroche.
If someone needs a player badly enough, the value of your player goes up tremendously. Exploit that as much as you possibly can.
Sell It
Make your trade sound as appealing as possible. Find a way to rationalize the deal and give the other team a reason to accept. It’s up to you to convince them that what you’re giving them will help them get better, even if you don’t believe it.
I traded Ryan Ludwick for Elvis Andrus earlier this season and I sold Ludwick and the fact that he was in the same lineup as Holliday and Pujols. I made it sound like he was going to be a top 10 outfielder.
Apparently my sell job worked. Again, it's not what you think, but what they think. Your job is to influence their thinking.
Know Your Team
While you have to consider a player’s value to another team, you also have to be aware of their value to your team.
If you can only play three OF’s and you have three guys better than someone like Bobby Abreu, than Abreu doesn’t have as much value. You should try and move him for as much as you can get, but ultimately getting someone who you are going to play is going to be more valuable than Abreu is on the bench.
Know Your Standings
This is staying with the theme of know your team, and with that, you have to know your standings. You should be checking the standings on a regular basis and staying aware of what exactly your team needs in the way of stat categories and what you can afford to lose.
One of the best fantasy baseball tips I have ever gotten was that it doesn’t matter if you win a category by one or 100. You don’t get bonus points for having 100 more homeruns than anyone else does.
This applies more around the end of June when you know what categories you are running away with and which one you might have no chance to catch up in. If you are not going to catch anyone in saves and you have that one closer, trade him.
Right around the end of June you need to make note of which categories you can still realistically make up a lot of ground in and aim to get better there. Right now you have a chance by keeping an eye on things to hopefully avoid getting taken out of the running in a category.
More often than not the teams who win the leagues I am in are the teams who are well balanced and scoring in every category.
Keep Your Poker Face On
The team you are trading with doesn’t need to know how much you like the guy you are getting or how much you dislike the guy you are trading away. This is part of selling a trade—convincing the other guy you either do or don’t value a particular player in a way that he or she does.
If a guy sends me an offer and says, "I absolutely love Choo, what do you want for him," I have a big smile on my face because I instantly know I can take advantage of this guy.
Don’t tell the guy who has the player you want that you love him—always undersell and even when you get an offer you like, try and get more.
Trade With a Purpose
I love making trades just as much as the next guy. I can literally spend hours out of my night trying to formulate the perfect trade scenarios in my leagues if I let myself—but the point of trading is not because you’re bored with your team or because you just need to do something.
The point is to make your team better. You’re not going to win every single trade you make, but don’t be the guy in the league who will make a trade just for the sake of making a trade.
Instead figure out who that guy is—and take advantage.
What does everyone else think about all of this? Feel free to add any tips of your own or perhaps you have an example of a trade that implements one of these principles. Let’s hear what you think about trading. If you have any trades on the table right now feel free to throw them up on here and I’ll try and give you some advice.
For more articles like this check out Rotoprofessor.com
NBA Fantasy on Fantrax. "Club of Outstanding Managers". Season 2018-2019. Monthly. #Circle 3 or meow-moor, third round - Children of Silver - Blogs
Holidays thundered. The percentage of alcohol in the body of people dropped to the usual limits. But our "Club of Outstanding Managers" only dreamed of peace! All the holidays continued hot battles on parquet computer screens. So let's sum them up!
Results of the third round of the Outstanding Managers Club:
This month, our GM lineup has undergone another change . Meet the new leaders of Houston and Brooklyn !
HOUSTON ROCKETS
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1. Tell us about yourself (name, age, where are you from). Who do you work for / who do you study (or studied for). List your main qualities.
- My name is Dima, 30 years old, I live in Moscow. I work in the energy sector.
2. Do you have experience in fantasy?
- Experience in fantasy is poor. He played in the RFPL on sports (quickly abandoned), and in the NBA on the ESPN engine.
3. How long have you been watching basketball? Do/have you played by yourself? What is your favorite team in the NBA? What other teams do you like?
- I have been playing basketball since I was 13 years old. I even managed to run a season for the legendary Dynamo Moscow Oblast Junior Junior League =+)) I have been following the NBA since I was 12, when my father bought me a poster with the Bulls after the CSKA game. I remember sitting all night at the video recorder recording MVZ 2003, Jordan's last MVZ, on cassette. Favorite team - the one in which Ray Allen plays (it turns out now there is none) \u003d)).
4. Do you follow other sports? If so, which ones, and what are your favorite teams?
- I don't really follow other sports, except maybe the World Cup, I always watch it.
5. What were your first impressions when you saw your squad? What are you planning to change first? If there have already been exchanges, tell us about them (what goals did you pursue, what did you receive, etc.)
- First impressions of the composition - mixed =)) Too not a deep composition. Questionable avenues in my opinion. Everyone I think saw that exchange, I'm sure it caused a ton of skepticism. So my goal for everyone I think is transparent. According to the exchanges: I can only say that there were successful exchanges and not very good ones. Time will tell how right I was or not, but I didn’t have a broken trough - it’s not bad anymore.
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6. What are your goals for the season?
- Completely rejuvenate the composition, and fall lower in the table =(
7. Do you like to trade and take risks or do you prefer to wait and play it safe?
8. What are your first impressions of our "Club"?0037
- There is a very big contrast between GMs =))) The main contender in terms of composition is Washington. The composition is the prettiest for me - Sacramento.
9. Why would you be the best GM in this league?
- Because I'm not afraid to take risks =D
10. Wishes to other participants and expectations from this league. BROOKLYN NETS0010
1. Tell us about yourself (name, age, where are you from). Who do you work for / who do you study (or studied for). List your main qualities.
- Dmitry Stankevich. Ukraine. I work and studied as an ecologist.
2. Do you have experience in fantasy?
- Experience fantasy league Alt 2 in yahu, dynasty on PASPAN, fantasy on sports ru.
3. How long have you been watching basketball? Do/have you played by yourself? What is your favorite team in the NBA? What other teams do you like?
- NBA watch for 10 years, my favorite team is Boston. I like Denver and San Antonio. I didn't play basketball.
4. Do you follow other sports? If so, which ones, and what are your favorite teams?
- Football, Real Madrid, Livepool, Dortmund, Ajax.
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5. What were your first impressions when you saw your squad? What are you planning to change first? If there have already been exchanges, tell us about them (what goals did you pursue, what did you receive, etc.)
- The team line-up is good, Bol, Colins of the youth and promising, Sabonis also shows a good game, like the rest of Indiana, Ubre started to play more interesting in Phoenix. The goal is to make the playoffs. I exchanged Ntilikina for Forbes, the Frenchman, in my opinion, is not for the NBA, he took ONIL as a free agent, he plays at the start of Utah, and it’s 100% better than Patton.
6. What are your goals for the season?
- Playoff target.
7. Do you like to trade and take risks, or do you prefer to wait and play it safe?
- Trader will do it.
8. What are your first impressions of our "Club"? Who do you think is the main contender for the championship in our league this year? Whose composition do you like the most?
- Cleveland. Impressions are very positive.
9. Why would you be the best GM in this league?
- I'm not the best.
10. Wishes to other participants and expectations from this league.
- I wish you always had a choice. I expect interesting confrontations and dialogues.
and smoothly move on to the results of the third circle:
9000 managed to break the hegemony of Washington. What feelings do you experience? Tell me your recipe for victory.
- For me, there are 3 main goals in our tournament: Championship (Main, no options), the largest number of FDs according to the results of the regular season, the Winner of the regular season. Now, if I take one of them, then it will be possible to talk about serious emotions. So far, just satisfaction from a good season and the destruction of most forecasters in the Western regular season (Yes, I ticked all the boxes, just like DeRozan circled Toronto in red)
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- What are your goals for the regular season? What steps do you plan to take to achieve your goals?
- The goal is simple, to keep the first place in the west. At the very least, being second... any other place would be a disaster for the software and a disappointment for me.
- There are many so-called "injuries" in your squad. What have you done so that all of them play without injuries this season? Maybe you need to put a candle in some temple? Or resort to black magic? Everyone will benefit from this knowledge.
- The so-called "Injuries" and their potential fragility as a mass term is a general misconception that we inherited from the 00s and early 10s, when there was no such medicine and such a careful attitude towards the players.
Now 80-90 percent of injuries are caused by chance, rather than some kind of system. Players are allowed to heal normally, they are excellently restored. And if you pay attention to the statistics, you will see that the most serious injuries are received precisely by people who had not been particularly noticed before in serious missed games. A recent example is Wall, who will miss the season. Or last year's example of teammates “injury” Davis, who has been tearing fantasy for 2 years in a row, and “iron” Cousins, who has taken off for 2 years from serious numbers.
However, this does not change the fact that there are indeed players in the NBA who can be called "injuries", it's just that there are only 10-15 of them per league. These are people who either got injured always and everywhere, or underwent serious operations, received complications, plus a couple of years missing in the prime of their careers.
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From the first category I will mark my Gallinari, and from the second - Isaiah Thomas. Conditional Hayward, who missed a year due to injury, but before and after he played normally, I would not attribute to injuries.
So there can be only one piece of advice: evaluate basketball players adequately at this stage of their careers. Learn their style of play. It's one thing to take on Griffin when he's dunking rings and flying defensively into the crowd trying to block shots, and it's quite another to trade him when he's calmly throwing open 3s on offense and learning a new version of Bill Simmons' pyramid in his own half of the court. .. Well, keep fire extinguishers away from him))
Worst team of the month
Charlotte Hornets 4-24-1
- When you came in, all your trades were focused on strengthening the roster "here and now" and trying to get into the playoffs. However, Charlotte, who did not shine even before, won only 4 (!!!!!) games in a month. What is the reason for this and what did not work? What ways do you see to improve the situation? Will your strategy change now?
- It was like that) but the reality turned out to be much harsher. All my assets that were supposed to be dragging? either were injured or did not play for various reasons. If not for this situation, I would have taken at least half of the meetings. And there are no options but to wait and hope.
Disappointment of the Month
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Minnesota Timberwolves 10-18-1
- Amazingly bad month for your team. In the third round, Minnesota showed just a terrible result. What is it connected with? What didn't work? How do you plan to change the situation?
- The reason for my failed performance does not surprise me, it is clear and understandable. If last season, when I thought that the team had a lot of injuries and it couldn't get any worse, then I was wrong. Turns out it's a complete mess. Thomas (never played) Love (injured for a very long time) but even without them, the team managed to play well. But in December and early January, injuries fell almost after every game. in the best case in two months) Lamb (3 games) Harris (1 game) these are the players who should give results. Baines (since the beginning of December) Casspi (6 games) 3 fpg players, but still something. Schruder missed the game due to disciplinary measures. Well, in general, only Towns, Burks, Turner managed without injuries. The rabble that I took from the FA did not bring anything at all, in most cases, did not even play. 9New York Knicks And suddenly such a takeoff! What is the reason for the sharp increase in results? Fart or just finally took his toll?
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- I didn’t plan any tanking, the natural course of events, the leaders’ injuries and the constant presence of some players on the bench at the beginning of the season, led to the fact that there was no one to play and, therefore, bring me precious points. But, over time, the situation gradually improved - recovering players began to play, several players received new roles in their old and new clubs, and that's the result. Plus, a certain amount of luck cannot be ruled out.
- What are the team's future plans? Will New York be able to keep up with the given pace of victories?
- Initially, it was planned to compete for 1 pick, but events unfolded in such a way that the playoffs loomed on the horizon. The coming months will show - either to riches, or in the dirt.
Third Circle All-Star Team
PG: Russell Westbrook (Oklahoma City Thunder) - 206.05 FPts/ 13.74 FPG
Russell Westbrook has 13 triple-doubles in his 18-19 season. In the match against San Antonio, Westbrook updated his own record for assists - 24 (with only three losses). Statistically, Westbrook is very useful in Fantasy, so the place of the "starting PG" remains unchanged.
SG: James Harden (New Orleans Pelicans) - 223.04 FPts/ 15.93 FPG
Beard's position, compared to the previous review, is unchanged. Key players dropped out of the Houston rotation with injuries: Capela, Gordon, Paul, but this did not stop James in any way, but rather inspired him. First, Harden broke Kobe Bryant's record for scoring 30+ points in a row (17) and repeated the achievements of Wilt Chamberlain and Elgin Baylor. Second, the current regular season MVP is averaging 46.8 points per 100 possessions, up 1.3 points from Michael Jordan in season 19.86-1987. Beard's statistics are monstrous: in 37 minutes (in forty games of the regular season), he is gaining 34.8 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 8.6 assists.
Greek position in our ranking also did not change. The middle of the championship is in the yard - and Giannis does not think to stop in the MVP race. James Harden admits that Giannis is a contender for the league's best player (although we've found Beard is also on the contenders list). With 26.6 points, 12.6 rebounds and 6 assists, the Greek is in second place in terms of votes cast for him at MVZ 2019.. However, with all this, Giannis is a very modest young man and says that the MVP title of the regular season is not as important to him as the success of his team.
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PF: Anthony Davis (New Orleans Pelicans) - 179.73 FPTS/ 16.34 FPG 9000
We have not gathered in a number of applicants for the best player for the best player. skip Davis. Anthony is having one of his strongest seasons ever, missing just five out of 44 games. As noted in the previous review: if Davis is on horseback - on horseback and GM Pelicans. Brow is one of the best players in the regular season, and arguably one of the best players in the Pelicans. It's funny how Boston forward Jason Tatum says he would understand management if he was included in a deal to trade Davis to the Celts.
Serbian Center in the last review did not get to the team of the best players of the fantasy, however, we did not all could not.
Jokic's 18-19 stats: 19.7 points (career-best), 7.5 assists (career-best), 10.2 rebounds in 31.4 minutes per game average. It is worth noting that if the center finishes the season with 7+ assists, then he will become the first seven-foot basketball player since Chamberlain with such statistics. Nicola is dragging the Denver Nuggets into the playoffs, which one of the league's youngest teams missed for five seasons.
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Jokic achieved all of these career milestones at age 23 while playing just two of four seasons with the Nuggets.
, however, was closed with the rests of this. a player more worthy of mention among the best has appeared - and this is Karl-Anthony Towns.
Yes, don't be surprised, Karl in this circle for 13 meetings held a line of 23.6 points + 13.2 rebounds + 4.2 assists on average per game. Butler's departure from Minnesota had a beneficial effect on the statistics of our center, and now we can finally see it in our fantasy. Karl, after a long time, is again the team's first option in the attack, and now there is no one to receive kicks in the ass for laziness, especially after the departure of Tibs, complete freedom of action. And so far, Towns is doing great.
Symbolic team of newcomers of the second circle
PG: Trae Young (UTAH JAZZ) - 107.64 FPTS/ 7.69 FPG
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The exchange of picks between Dallas and Atlanta will be remembered throughout the careers of both Young and Doncic. Constant comparison is inevitable. The Atlanta bosses wanted to "clone" the FGM with Young and Hurter instead of Curry and Thompson. But if at the beginning of the season Young was ranked almost as a league bust, now it is very difficult to agree with this. Since mid-December, Atlanta has regularly given battle to teams from the PO zone and contenders for the championship, more than once emerging victorious. And one of the creators of those wins was Trae Young, averaging over 15 points and over 6 assists per game in that period. The guy has clearly improved his Shot selection since the start of the season, he passes well. Young is unlikely to claim ROY, but he is definitely not a bust.
As I felt if I had already one foot on a parquet with a process with a process and a Simmons and Simmons and Simmons and Simmons and Simmons and Simmons and Simmons and Simmons and Simmons from the corner of the 3, and then all of a sudden I would be put on a train to the place where the most deadly franchise lives? And that's not counting the sentimental story with my mother. I would feel like crap. It is noticeable that Mikal began to improve, and either the conflict with Kokoshkov dotted the "I", or the guy has already more or less adapted to the league - progress has been made. He began to defend much better, having one and a half interceptions per game. Not that he shined with performance, but he had a good percentage, gaining almost 8 points on average. It is worth noting that Hurter, mentioned above, stepped on the heels of Mikal, but fpg is fpg =)
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SF: Luka Doncic (Los Angeles Lakers) - 147.59 FPts/ 9.84 FPG
Unconditional ROY of this season. I hope to see him at the cost center in Charlotte, he deserves it by 146%. Messiah from Dallas, hero of memes, author of crazy bazers. Halleluka! By the way, listen to the song!
PF: Kevin Knox (Dallas Mavericks) - 80.69 FPts/ 6.72 FPG
The increase in playing time and Fitzdale's confidence paid off instantly. Kevin instantly went over 16+ points per game, with a good conversion rate. And in general, it looks very organic on the floor, as far as it is generally possible now in the form of the Knicks. And even gives good battles to such giants as Philadelphia, along with, God forgive me, Luke Cornet. The Knicks once again missed in the draft and this is a great reason for the New York fans to rejoice.
Ayton continues to rivet trash statistics in the association's most disastrous franchise. Almost 18 points per game and 10+ rebounds, that's a double-double in a game. He is still in a fever, and he alternates games with 20+ points with games where he scores ... 4. In short, a non-alternative candidacy for the position of center and for the position of catching up in the voting ROY. It remains only to believe that James Jones knows what to do and in Phoenix, after all, someday, they will see the sun.
Flx: Jaren Jackson Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies) - 92.53 FPts/ 6.61 FPG
I wrote that Ayton is the undisputed candidacy of the catch-up in the race for the ROY title. I was wrong. Memphis, which dangled at the bottom of the standings last year… dangles at the bottom of the standings. But now the franchise has a new face that defends, blocks, scores threes, scores buzzers, in the best tradition of grit and grind. And this guy is 211cm tall. Average per game 14 points, 6 rebounds and 1+ blocks. And frankly, the fact that the Bears traded for Holiday gives the impression that Memphis wants to fight and is fighting for PO. It's scary to think that Donnie Nelson would have agreed to trade Barnes for the remains of Chandler Parsons and the 4th pick in the draft (consider Jackson). Why hasn't Nelson been fired yet?!
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The main trade of the third round:
The trades were different, there were many trades. But they were all overshadowed by one, the most important TRADE! We'll talk about him.
01/01/19
in Sacramento: 1 Round 19 (LAL)
in Atlanton + Brandon Ingrem + Joachi Richardson 9,0005 To Houston: Thorin Prince + John Wall + John Henson + Paul Millsap + 1 round 19(Charlotte) + Round 2 19 (Atlanta)
To Washington DC: Clint Capela + Jay Crowder + Fred Vanvleet + Taj Gibson + Round 2 19 (NY)
It's been about 3 weeks since was the first trade in league history involving 4 franchises . The landmark event was officially held on January 1st (Noah was raised from the waver and had a month-long cooldown for the exchange), which is also interesting.
The trade did not cause a storm of indignation among the community, not without a scratch, but it passed the commission on the first try, which means that at the moment it seems adequate to the majority.
Let's see what each of the participants gained/lost:
Let's start simple. Aleksey from Sacramento aka Vlade Divac in the process of negotiations got everyone drunk with slivovitz and on the sly received a LAL first-round pick for the once again broken Henson, which will be approximately 19-23 in the upcoming draft. A little high for Johnny, but within the scope of such a large deal, it is acceptable. Good move for Sacramento. He plays up with students, which means he will understand who to aim at.
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The newly minted GM of Houston (beloved Aristarkh left the league for a good reason) basketball player Dima decided to blow up immediately and exchanged three of his young core:
Gone - Capela, Ingram, Aaron Gordon.
Came - Wall, Prince, Sap, Henson (after the third bottle), Atlanta's potentially high second round pick and Charlotte's first round pick.
I'll note right away that at the time of the GM trade, Wall had not yet gone under the knife, and Capela had not yet dropped out for 6 weeks.
It is believed that the operation will help Wall to play without pain, at least in Achilles after his return. In addition, the end of the season for the top (in case of a successful operation, which we will check in October-November) will help Houston himself to make his peak a little higher due to the greater number of defeats.
As it turned out 2 weeks later, Capela would also "didn't let me down" in this sense, but this is already a subjunctive lyric and not related to the motivation of the trade. Wants/believes/appreciates GM Johnny Boy - gets it.
As for the rest of those who left the roster, many expected a qualitative leap from Ingram this year, both in the game and in figures related to fantasy. So far, the season has been a failure for him, without Mr. Crab, even the Cavs are merging young people at home, with Mr. Crab on the site, Ingram is still looking for his game, but nothing critical has happened, the young, hype prospect is sent to Atlanta for education.
Aaron Gordon spent too much time in the cemetery of young players in Orlando. Another change of coach, and at the same time a bad one (in my opinion, I do not pretend). I would say that Gordon will not become a star, but there are clear fresh examples of how Orlando prospects, towards maturity, find their teams in the league, their game and blow up (Vitya, Tobias).
So Dima lets these guys go, because he didn't draft them, didn't buy them, and they don't seem to impress him much, but they are expensive. IMHO something like that. What does he get besides Wall?
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At the moment, Charlotte's first-round pick is the first, which would be absolutely perfect for Houston. Another issue is that our system, as well as the NBA, implies lotteries according to the new adopted rules, so nominally a fall to 4 suits Dima. What Charlotte will turn out to be in the end is an open question, because there was also a change in the GM there, the returned creator of the league Andrey is determined, he is actively changing. Let's see where his franchise will be by the end of our regular season. In any case, the pick will be very juicy, this asset can be both sold at a high price before / during the draft, or you can choose the top player yourself.
They say that the draft is not too deep, so it's hard to say whether Dima will pick Atlanta under the pick of the second round or sell it as a makeweight to some of his players.
Thorin Prince goes on. I won't go into detail on it as GM has already traded this prospect. I will only note that many played diligently at Torin at least from 2017 software, continued in the regular season 17/18. Injuries are getting in the way this year, someone is already forcing less diligently, 24 years in the meantime, let's see further where Prince's growth as a player stops.
Millsap and Henson are already actively trading further. We'll have to see what they turn into. A healthy SEP on the eve of a PO can cost very well. The main thing is not to wait for his next (unfortunately, the years began to take their toll) injury. And so Paul topchik still.
Heard different opinions about whether the Houston GM won or lost. There is no single answer here, in my opinion. It turned out very interesting, he completed his task to shake up the roster and merge behind a higher peak.
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ATLANTA.
In - Ingram + Aaron Gordon + Jay Rich (onelove, star) + NOA (whatdafuck???)
Out - Vanvleet + Prince + Sep + Gibson + Crowder + 1st round Charlotte + 1st round LAL + 2nd round Atlanta + 2nd round NY
5 players and 4 picks GM Atlanta, for which the current season is extremely difficult, gave for the trio Gordon + Rich + Ingram
Here a good question arises: will (depending on the position of Charlotte at the end of the regular season) the pick be the most an expensive asset of the whole trade in general?
Ingram and Gordon have already been discussed among those who came, Noah - it is clear that we will not discuss, Rich remained. I love Jay very much and I think this acquisition is extremely cool.
Thus, GM Maxim chose a young core for years to come. Sep and Taj are veterans, Crowder is a good fat-ass roleplayer, Vanvleet and Prince are cool, but their development ceilings do not pull on the ceilings of the arrived trio. But a lot of peaks were given away. A lot of. Maybe a top 3 pick, then 19-23 and two good second rounds to go.
Again, whether this trade will be profitable or loose for Atlanta will not become obvious soon. Heard opinions that profitable. As for me, he is brave, good and necessary in the situation of this franchise, but the outcomes can be many and completely different
For dessert, your humble servant left Egor with his formidable Wizards franchise:
5 from Sacramento, in order to sell Henson, you need to get everyone drunk with slivovitz. Egor, in order to find a new Noah team, only needs to . ..... I don’t know
If we abstract from subjective sympathies for Rich in advance and accept as a default setting that Washington cannot lose in a trade in principle, everything looks very even nice. The toxic Wall is replaced by a young, growing and elite role player Capela with a top PPG indicator. The 2nd round of NY will be sold somehow somewhere. Noah didn’t go back to the waver, but like, at a certain price, Gibson will take the position of a reserve big in the roster (although after Tibbs was fired, with the arrival of Saunders, I see the possibility of either trading Taj, or more time with a towel since Minnie will lose all chances for VP). On the other hand, Gibson is not too prone to injury and will help clearly in PO. Crowder is fine, Vanvleet is great, but it would be very hard for me to let Jay go.
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Nominally, according to the FDs that came, Yegor added. He threw off a serious IRL, but risky due to injuries and the upcoming fantasy software of Sep, got rid of Wall, who is top, but with sores and cockroaches, added a third to the duo of elite fantasy towers.
Someone looked at it and said that these moves were also blocked under the software calendar with a bang. However, because of Jay Rich, a player for the soul, I would not go for this move. This is probably why Egor is confidently leading in the next regular season, and I am where I am))
Summing up , I would like to note that you can search for pros and cons for each franchise based on the results of MEGAtrade. It will be more interesting to discuss it this spring, then in the fall, then in 2020. Thanks to the respected GMA for such a New Year's gift, more often)
A little statistics:
still statistics:
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The final table after the end of the 3rd circle:
Statistics for 3 circles:
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If the playoffs were tomorrow:
This concludes our review of the third round. Thanks to all the GMs who participated. The intrigue is twisting more and more, the struggle is heating up. Playoffs close...
NBA trades: what's going on inside
Hoopshype is about what's going on behind the scenes before the deadline.
Nowadays, every NBA fan is able to try on the chair of the general manager and simulate trade scenarios, whether it be a fantasy league, a computer game or a trade machine. For the most part, this really contributes to a better understanding of the principles of making transactions. Hardcore fans are more informed than most about the intricacies of the Collective Agreement, the principles of selecting packages for making deals, the current value of certain players, or even how those same players react to rumors of trades (thanks to social networks).
However, speaking to general managers and other club executives on condition of anonymity, it becomes clear that [the public] lacks a real understanding of how deals are made in the NBA world. The information below will help you better understand what the life of modern front office workers is like and what aspects of the exchange process are usually left behind the scenes.
A large number of people work on each transaction
The main myth concerns the very mechanism of transactions: they say that one general manager (hereinafter referred to as GM) just calls another. Often this is the end, but the very process of shaking hands is preceded by the serious work of a number of employees.
The GM's assistant, consultants, capologists (experts who are knowledgeable about payroll issues), expert analysts, scouts, and sometimes the coaching staff all provide the GM with all the help they can. Sometimes team owners are also involved in the process, depending on the nature of the transaction itself and the characteristics of the organization. The importance of each of the designated links in the trade chain should not be underestimated.
Capologists evaluate the viability of a deal primarily by looking at the current state of payrolls. For example, a capologist monitors the market for the availability of players who are on expiring contracts and claiming a salary increase in the offseason (which the local GM is not ready to provide). Payroll specialists also pay attention to players on 10-day contracts, open spots on other clubs' rosters, the amounts that some teams need to reach the minimum wage threshold - and then forward the information to the GM. Often, transactions related to the completion / release of the payroll are completely handled by capologists; The GM just needs to make a follow-up call.
Each GM regularly receives options for potential trades aimed at freeing up a place in the payroll or team composition, and then starts discussing the data with the rest of the staff - including analysts.
The qualitative and quantitative composition of the analytical team varies from team to team. What remains unchanged is the fact that in the vast majority of organizations, the opinion of analysts is seriously listened to. Analysts habitually issue a specialized assessment of future transactions, and also monitor to identify the so-called. “low-hanging fruits” – undervalued players or free agents who could be useful to the club.
Equally important are the scouts, who are responsible for collecting information about players and actions that other teams in the League can take. For obvious reasons, franchises are reluctant to reveal their true intentions, which is why GMs so appreciate any information that can shed light on the way of thinking and motivation of counterparts.
The complexity of the processes taking place in the front office often surprises even seasoned players before taking a managerial position in the club who have spent more than a dozen years in the League. This is because players simply do not see the big picture, because it is difficult for them to realize the value of some things (like a trading exception or a pick) until they are on the other side of the stage.
Do not lose sight of the obvious: NBA players are not dummies in trading machines, but people just like you and me. Relationships can seriously complicate the transaction. GMs evaluate which of the players is expected to have an addition to the family; who can improve the atmosphere in the locker room; who will bring leadership qualities; who is steadily progressing from year to year or, in the end, someone who is ready to move to a qualitatively new level.
Teams and agents leak information to the press for various reasons
Let's be clear: 9 times out of 10 GMs prefer not to let the details of their negotiations be leaked to the press. Such leaks can cause dissatisfaction among the player and affect his efficiency, which ultimately negatively affects the value of the asset and reduces the amount of leverage in the negotiations.
In some organizations information leaks happen almost instantly, so GMs try to interact with such teams only in the most extreme cases. It is possible that the deal of your favorite team fell through, because. Some people just don't know how to keep their mouths shut. Some agents also leak information; in such cases, the team's management prefers to keep such partners in the dark to the last.
The lion's share of negotiations takes place in person or by phone, also because of the fear that a confidential SMS sent may immediately become public. According to the GMs, there is at least one team in the NBA that ignores such rules and constantly sends out deal offers via email. However, this is rather an exception.
So why do the damn leaks happen?
Often the reason is young middle or lower managers who believe that such tactics can serve their further career growth. Others think that interacting with the press will help them in the future when they become full GMs. Some managers simply trade intelligence with the press on a "you to me, I to you" basis. Most executives agree that identifying the source of a leak is easy enough to analyze who might benefit from it.
Leaks are created to give the illusion that a player or a pick is in demand. Another reason is to destroy the atmosphere of trust between the player in whom the suitor has an interest and his current club. According to GMs, the leak may cause dissatisfaction with the player and - as an option - a request for an exchange to another team.
Take Boston, for example. [Danny Ainge] is interested in the fact that there have been rumors in the press about exchange scenarios involving Jimmy Butler, Paul George, Blake Griffin and other stars. This not only adds to the value of the Brooklyn 1-Round pick, but may also encourage players who are frustrated by the rumors to force the trade.
“If this works, which is exactly what happened in the case of Butler and the Bulls office, then a player who was previously considered unavailable can be traded overnight before it worsens the situation,” says one of the GMs Associations.
There is no smoke without fire
Fans love rumors and speculation, but how real are all these media leaks?
League managers note that it all depends on the source. For example, almost all GMs consider Adrian Wojnarowski a reliable source of information. If Vodge is talking about something, it means that the information was obtained from a reliable source and rarely turns out to be incorrect. Zach Lowe of ESPN is also cited as a credible source and someone who really understands what's going on in the team he's writing about. According to some executives, writers close to individual teams can provide a lot of useful information about team chemistry, individual player morale, or the next steps for the front office.
Most other journalists who publish brief insider reports (like Mark Stein, Sam Amick, Brian Windhorst, David Aldridge, Ramona Shelburne and Mark Spears) are classified as "no smoke without fire" by League GMs. In other words, the reports from these insiders may not be 100% reliable, but at least they have a real basis. These journalists probably communicated with a person who was aware of the processes taking place within the organization. The resulting material may contain temporary inaccuracies, exaggerate something, or part of the context may be missed, but the main idea is extremely rarely unreliable.
However, missing the context can do a disservice. GMs are especially annoyed by reports of supposedly "internal discussions of the player" or "communication of managers on a particular candidate." Such messages do not reveal the essence of what is happening: the team could indeed receive calls from competitors, but all their offers were instantly rejected. In the press, this moment is recorded as a "discussion". As for discussions about players within the team, this is a workflow that takes place constantly and at all levels - from the GM to the junior analyst.
"These things can be said about almost any player" - one of the anonymous GMs is indignant. – And although formally this information can be called reliable, it has nothing to do with reality. In this case, the teams do not comment on such reports and do not refute them. Otherwise, it would give legitimacy to empty rumors, and it would immediately end up on someone's Twitter.
Social media makes work much more difficult
Here we come to the next thesis: although Twitter provides access to information in real time, which makes any transactional period even more interesting for fans, social media is a real headache for the NBA front offices.
The main negative aspect of Twitter is the fact that players are finding it increasingly difficult to deal with the constant flow of rumors. Previously, players could ignore all this by simply turning off the TV or refusing to read newspapers. Today, players (as well as their family members and friends) can see "scenarios" with their own participation on gadget screens.
One of the GMs said that with the advent of social networks, the number of questions from players, agents and coaches about the reliability of certain news has increased many times over. Further - more: an ordinary tweet or the fact of signing one player for another turns into a whole story that leads to serious proceedings.
Take Isaiah Thomas' tweet. Local journalists found out that the last time the player published the “peephole” badge was right before signing Al Horford. So Thomas knows something? Mike Zarren, assistant GM for the Celtics, aptly described what was going on:
“Life in 2017: One player randomly posts emoji and 20 journalists keep calling/texting you demanding to know when the trade is going to happen. Lol»
Such things happen with enviable regularity, and their ever-increasing number makes it difficult to separate rumors into standard journalistic “ducks” and those that should be refuted publicly. For most of the League's front office staff, Twitter is a source of trouble, making an already difficult job more difficult.
The February deadline is the culmination of a lot of work
Throughout the year, offices of all 30 teams collect and analyze information in an attempt to find a way to improve the subordinate team. While each transaction is assessed separately, GM analyzes the process in the long term and constantly takes steps that can lead to follow-up actions in the near future. For example, the team acquired a certain player before the deadline, but the prerequisites for this large transaction were numerous small transactions carried out throughout the previous year.
Collection of information about players starts from the moment of interviews before the draft. Every year at pre-draft camps in Chicago, there are reports of prospects scheduled to meet with NBA teams. There are also a number of aspects that need to be understood.
First, teams will never make appointments for players who are supposed to come to them in the future for personal training or interviews. If club representatives meet with young people who are unlikely to be drafted, it is only to get an idea of \u200b\u200bthe players who are unlikely to be invited to individual meetings. Those. pre-draft interviews - a start to create an information base, which will be constantly updated in the future. For example, if a player leaves the club as a free agent, club representatives turn to his former home organization to find out some of the player’s individual qualities or stories that characterize him off the floor. Thus, step by step, the team is forming an understanding of which players it is planned to attract to the club in the near future.
Teams interact throughout the year. At the very beginning of the season, no one is in a hurry to reveal plans, watching the performances of the entrusted team. As the regular season progresses, GMs begin to actively study the market and periodically contact each other to discuss individual candidates. With the February deadline approaching, negotiations are entering the most active phase, GMs are reviving previous agreements or discussions. Having decided to exchange one of the players, the manager carefully selects the teams to which offers will be sent. Calling anyone and everyone can negatively affect the value of assets and reduce the flexibility in discussing with opponents, prompting them to sell short.
Often GMs of interested teams get pissed off that a trade has already taken place without even being notified of the availability of a player of interest to them. Something similar happened the other day with DeMarcus Cousins. Several NBA clubs were immediately interested in the exchange of the center, but no one got in touch with them, because. Vivek Ranadive considered the New Orleans offer the best possible and was afraid that negotiations with other teams could negatively affect the final package for Cousins. In the opinion of many GMs, Sacramento agreed to a weak offer, and the Pelicans would not have withdrawn it even if Ranadive had initiated discussions with other parties.
This is why personal relationships between team managers are so important. It's no coincidence that clubs frequently do trades with certain partners. The managers of these teams communicate with each other more often, which means that they discuss possible exchange scenarios more often. Such interaction creates an atmosphere of mutual trust, which reduces the likelihood of leaks or, as the GMs themselves call it, “dirty play”.
Go to the other manager's team, evaluate their strengths and weaknesses, and offer them something they want.
Analyzing your opponent's team and finding what they want out of a trade leads me to the final point on offering trades, which is...
On the other hand, look at how you're overvaluing your own roster: What's their real potential? What are the chances they outplay their ADP? Are there reasons to hold onto them?
This doesn't necessarily mean that you have to strictly be a realist, as there's a benefit to being optimistic, but setting high expectations will lead to a breakdown in negotiations and disappointment.
I've used several sources, from free rankings to paid insider information, and from podcasts to personal contact with experts.
Figuring out the best offer you can make is crucial to successful trade negotiation.
Otherwise, if you send your WTP in the initial offer, the opposing manager is likely to counter using that as a starting point, and you're outbidding yourself from the beginning.
However, if you look at their team and see that they also have Giannis, you might realize that they're punting FT% while focussing on FG%, making Fred VanVleet a terrible fit for him. Maybe they're lacking blocks or points, in which case an offer involving Rudy Gobert, Deandre Ayton, or Zion Williamson as the centerpiece instead would be much more intriguing to them.
While you would be willing to trade Butler for Turner, you likely wouldn't be willing to accept Turner for Butler. It's a behavioral phenomenon that we all fall into, whether we know it or not.
Focus on improving your team and getting more wins. It is perfectly okay to make a 1-for-1 trade for a player that is 20 ranks lower than the player you're giving up. If your team improves, then it's usually a good trade.
Chances are if they don’t like your counter they’ll at least have the courtesy to do the same as you and the more information on the table the easier it’ll be to work something out.
Start low and let the other guy counter to something more realistic, cause every once in a while your low ball offer will get accepted.
Take advantage of the guy who can’t get out of last place, he is much more likely to do something drastic to shake things up.
You don’t get bonus points for having 100 more homeruns than anyone else does.
Let’s hear what you think about trading. If you have any trades on the table right now feel free to throw them up on here and I’ll try and give you some advice.
.. 
Do you like to trade and take risks or do you prefer to wait and play it safe? 
I like Denver and San Antonio. I didn't play basketball. 
So far, just satisfaction from a good season and the destruction of most forecasters in the Western regular season (Yes, I ticked all the boxes, just like DeRozan circled Toronto in red) 
Conditional Hayward, who missed a year due to injury, but before and after he played normally, I would not attribute to injuries. 
All my assets that were supposed to be dragging? either were injured or did not play for various reasons. If not for this situation, I would have taken at least half of the meetings. And there are no options but to wait and hope. 
in the best case in two months) Lamb (3 games) Harris (1 game) these are the players who should give results. Baines (since the beginning of December) Casspi (6 games) 3 fpg players, but still something. Schruder missed the game due to disciplinary measures. Well, in general, only Towns, Burks, Turner managed without injuries. The rabble that I took from the FA did not bring anything at all, in most cases, did not even play. 9New York Knicks And suddenly such a takeoff! What is the reason for the sharp increase in results? Fart or just finally took his toll? 
Plus, a certain amount of luck cannot be ruled out. 
Key players dropped out of the Houston rotation with injuries: Capela, Gordon, Paul, but this did not stop James in any way, but rather inspired him. First, Harden broke Kobe Bryant's record for scoring 30+ points in a row (17) and repeated the achievements of Wilt Chamberlain and Elgin Baylor. Second, the current regular season MVP is averaging 46.8 points per 100 possessions, up 1.3 points from Michael Jordan in season 19.86-1987. Beard's statistics are monstrous: in 37 minutes (in forty games of the regular season), he is gaining 34.8 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 8.6 assists. 
With 26.6 points, 12.6 rebounds and 6 assists, the Greek is in second place in terms of votes cast for him at MVZ 2019.. However, with all this, Giannis is a very modest young man and says that the MVP title of the regular season is not as important to him as the success of his team. 
96 FPTS/ 13.61 FPG 
But if at the beginning of the season Young was ranked almost as a league bust, now it is very difficult to agree with this. Since mid-December, Atlanta has regularly given battle to teams from the PO zone and contenders for the championship, more than once emerging victorious. And one of the creators of those wins was Trae Young, averaging over 15 points and over 6 assists per game in that period. The guy has clearly improved his Shot selection since the start of the season, he passes well. Young is unlikely to claim ROY, but he is definitely not a bust. 
I would feel like crap. It is noticeable that Mikal began to improve, and either the conflict with Kokoshkov dotted the "I", or the guy has already more or less adapted to the league - progress has been made. He began to defend much better, having one and a half interceptions per game. Not that he shined with performance, but he had a good percentage, gaining almost 8 points on average. It is worth noting that Hurter, mentioned above, stepped on the heels of Mikal, but fpg is fpg =) 
Kevin instantly went over 16+ points per game, with a good conversion rate. And in general, it looks very organic on the floor, as far as it is generally possible now in the form of the Knicks. And even gives good battles to such giants as Philadelphia, along with, God forgive me, Luke Cornet. The Knicks once again missed in the draft and this is a great reason for the New York fans to rejoice. 
But they were all overshadowed by one, the most important TRADE! We'll talk about him. 
Let's see where his franchise will be by the end of our regular season. In any case, the pick will be very juicy, this asset can be both sold at a high price before / during the draft, or you can choose the top player yourself. 
And so Paul topchik still. 
..... I don’t know 
.. Loaded ... Loaded ... 
The importance of each of the designated links in the trade chain should not be underestimated. 
This is because players simply do not see the big picture, because it is difficult for them to realize the value of some things (like a trading exception or a pick) until they are on the other side of the stage. 
Some managers simply trade intelligence with the press on a "you to me, I to you" basis. Most executives agree that identifying the source of a leak is easy enough to analyze who might benefit from it. 
These journalists probably communicated with a person who was aware of the processes taking place within the organization. The resulting material may contain temporary inaccuracies, exaggerate something, or part of the context may be missed, but the main idea is extremely rarely unreliable. 
In this case, the teams do not comment on such reports and do not refute them. Otherwise, it would give legitimacy to empty rumors, and it would immediately end up on someone's Twitter. 
Further - more: an ordinary tweet or the fact of signing one player for another turns into a whole story that leads to serious proceedings. 
While each transaction is assessed separately, GM analyzes the process in the long term and constantly takes steps that can lead to follow-up actions in the near future. For example, the team acquired a certain player before the deadline, but the prerequisites for this large transaction were numerous small transactions carried out throughout the previous year. 
For example, if a player leaves the club as a free agent, club representatives turn to his former home organization to find out some of the player’s individual qualities or stories that characterize him off the floor. Thus, step by step, the team is forming an understanding of which players it is planned to attract to the club in the near future. 
